Akraness vs Afturelding – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Icelandic Besta-deild karla Akraness - Afturelding
Result
3:1
15/09/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Besta deild karla - Round 22
  • Referee: Stefansson A. (Ice)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Ísland 2
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.26
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
116
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
73% (257/350)75% (268/357)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
2.261.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.172.01
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
116
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
1610
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3233
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
118
Passes
73% (257/350)75% (268/357)
Long passes
43% (36/83)56% (40/71)
Passes in final third
55% (63/115)63% (64/102)
Crosses
36% (8/22)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.141.36
Throw-ins
2326
Fouls
811
Tackles
93% (13/14)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4248
Clearances
3535
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
58
xGOT faced
2.012.17
Goals prevented
1.01-0.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Hugason S. , Runolfsson B. ,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Stefansson O. , Sigurjonsson R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', Hafthorsson T. G. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Jonsson V. , Sigurjonsson R. (A),
  • 55', Hafthorsson T. G. , Cogic E. ,
  • 55', Ragnarsson A. , Stokke B. ,
  • 62', Palsson S. 🟨,
  • 73', Johannsson A. 🟨,
  • 77', Runolfsson B. , Kassi L. ,
  • 81', Unnarsson G. , Hafsteinsson A. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Kassi L. , Stokke B. (A),
  • 88', 3 - 1, Stefansson O. ,
  • 90', Gudjonsson I. , Jonsson H. ,

Chances of winning


Akraness
39.9%
Draw
25.3%
Afturelding
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 25.4% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 24.6% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Akraness - Afturelding Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.52)
    3.69
    (3.65)
    2.68
    (2.45)
    7.1%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Akraness - Afturelding?
  • Users Predictions: Akraness will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
    • Akraness is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
    • Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Akraness may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Akraness won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Akraness - Afturelding were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Afturelding - Akraness 4:1
    14.05.2025 Akraness - Afturelding 0:1
    08.02.2024 Akraness - Afturelding 5:2
    28.07.2023 Afturelding - Akraness 2:5
    22.05.2023 Akraness - Afturelding 1:1
    Latest results of Akraness
    11.09.2025 Akraness - Breiðablik 3:0
    05.08.2025 Akraness - Valur 2:2
    Latest results of Afturelding
    26.08.2025 Valur - Afturelding 4:3
    17.08.2025 Afturelding - KA Akureyri 3:3
    06.08.2025 Afturelding - Vestri 1:1
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vikingur Reykjavik23136449:282145
    2Stjarnan23125643:35841
    3Valur22124653:351840
    4Breidablik2297637:35234
    5Hafnarfjordur2387841:35631
    6Fram23851033:33029

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