Result
0:1
05/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 14
- Referee: Thorarinsson V. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport, SÝN Sport Ísland |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (221/331) | 74% (305/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 2.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (221/331) | 74% (305/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (31/76) | 27% (20/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (50/105) | 60% (93/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 19% (5/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Dimitrijevic V. ⚽, Chopart K. (A),
- 34', Runarsson S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Unnarsson G. ↓, Vardic M. ↑,
- 64', Haraldsson H. ↓, Gislason J. G. E. ↑,
- 66', Jonsson H. 🟨,
- 78', Aegisson M. ↓, McLagan K. ↑,
- 78', Hauksson R. ↓, Thordarson M. ↑,
- 78', Asgrimsson H. ↓, Garcia I. ↑,
- 79', Sigurjonsson R. ↓, Gunnarsson G. ↑,
- 90+7', Dimitrijevic V. ↓, Bystrom J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akraness
31.9% | Draw
24.6% | Fram
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akraness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akraness's form might have worsened.Fram has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fram's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akraness, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fram than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fram, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Akraness - Fram Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↑
(2.33) |
3.79 ↓
(3.94) |
2.15 ↓
(2.61) |
7.2%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Akraness - Fram?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Akraness will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Fram will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fram: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 3.
- In recent matches, Akraness has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fram is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akraness won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Akraness won against Fram?
Akraness has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fram won against Akraness?
Fram has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akraness - Fram were as follows:
06.04.2025
Fram
-
Akraness
0:1
12.08.2024
Akraness
-
Fram
1:0
21.05.2024
Fram
-
Akraness
1:1
08.10.2022
Akraness
-
Fram
3:2
Latest results of Akraness
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 52:33 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | Stjarnan ✔ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Breidablik ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Fram | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 8 | Vestri | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:38 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 42:44 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 | Afturelding ✔ | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Akranes ✔ | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
