Result
2:2
05/08/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 17
- Referee: Robertsson G. F. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (321/432) | 69% (228/329) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (321/432) | 69% (228/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (36/92) | 21% (13/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (67/123) | 55% (61/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (11/29) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Pedersen P. ⚽, Jonsson J. (A),
- 38', Sigurjonsson R. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 2, Pedersen P. (Pen),
- 42', Gemmer J. 🟨,
- 42', Gislason J. G. E. 🟨,
- 45', Jonsson H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gemmer J. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
- 48', Jonsson V. 🟨,
- 48', Haraldsson T. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 2, Antonsson B. (Own goal),
- 60', Hafsteinsson A. ↓, Stefansson O. ↑,
- 72', Hoti A. ↓, Johannsson A. ↑,
- 72', Skoglund A. ↓, Lundemo M. ↑,
- 72', Pedersen P. ↓, Palsson A. ↑,
- 80', Gunnarsson G. ↓, Unnarsson G. ↑,
- 81', Vardic M. ↓, Berndsen B. ↑,
- 89', Haraldsson T. ↓, Jonsson B. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Stefansson O. ⚽, Gislason J. G. E. (A),
Chances of winning
Akraness
21.6% | Draw
22% | Valur
56.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Akraness - Valur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.33 ↓
(5.22) |
4.25 ↓
(4.77) |
1.66 ↑
(1.49) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Akraness - Valur?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Akraness will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Valur will win (votes: 19 - 90.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Valur will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 1.
- Akraness has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Valur is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Valur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Valur is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 24:55. (average 1.2:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akraness won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.5:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Akraness won against Valur?
Akraness has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valur won against Akraness?
Valur has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akraness - Valur were as follows:
10.05.2025
Valur
-
Akraness
6:1
15.02.2025
Akraness
-
Valur
1:1
26.10.2024
Valur
-
Akraness
6:1
28.06.2024
Akraness
-
Valur
3:2
07.04.2024
Valur
-
Akraness
2:0
Latest results of Akraness
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 46:24 | 22 | 37 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 33:24 | 9 | 32 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Stjarnan | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 34:30 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Vestri | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Fram | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Hafnarfjordur | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 31:27 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | KA Akureyri | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:32 | -14 | 22 |
| 9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 21 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 39:41 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Afturelding | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Akranes | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
