Result
0:2
31/08/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Referee: Bobrovsky Y. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (272/360) | 71% (203/286) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (272/360) | 71% (203/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 50% (39/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (77/130) | 54% (57/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.26 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Andrade K. ⚽, Gassama N. (A),
- 6', Andrade K. 🟨,
- 27', Bokoev M. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, Petrov M. ⚽, Petrov I. (A),
- 45+2', Beveev M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Shershov N. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
- 61', Kuzmin M. ↓, Bazilevskiy N. ↑,
- 75', Pryakhin S. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
- 75', Titkov N. ↓, Mourid A. ↑,
- 79', Maradishvili K. ↓, Escoval R. ↑,
- 81', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 83', Savichev K. ↓, Dmitriev A. ↑,
- 86', Petrov M. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akron Tolyatti
30% | Draw
28% | Baltika Kaliningrad
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akron Tolyatti's form might have worsened.Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baltika Kaliningrad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akron Tolyatti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baltika Kaliningrad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Akron Tolyatti - Baltika Kaliningrad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(2.61) |
3.44 ↑
(3.38) |
2.29 ↓
(2.97) |
4.1%
(1.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Baltika Kaliningrad?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Baltika will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1.
- Akron is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Baltika's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Akron may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Baltika will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Akron: Khosonov K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Baltika: Mendel A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Akron: Benchimol
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Akron Tolyatti has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Akron Tolyatti?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Baltika Kaliningrad were as follows:
29.07.2025
Akron Tolyatti
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:1
19.03.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Akron Tolyatti
1:1
27.08.2022
Akron Tolyatti
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:3
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 2 | Baltika | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 19:12 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 15 |
| 5 | Rubin Kazan | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 6 | Zenit | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Krylya Sovetov | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Spartak Moscow | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:21 | -17 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
