Result
3:3 penalties
18/07/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Kucuk Z. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 128 | 114 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 58 | 34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Cevallos J. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Umaev I. ⚽, Doumbouya A. (A),
- 44', Umaev I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Djordjevic A. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Guliashvili G. ⚽,
- 58', Djordjevic A. ↓, Andjusic N. ↑,
- 58', Bubanja V. ↓, Mehmedovic E. ↑,
- 62', Cevallos J. ↓, Kenesov A. ↑,
- 66', Doumbouya A. ↓, Bessmertnyi D. ↑,
- 66', Umaev I. ↓, Jairo J. ↑,
- 71', Catakovic H. ↓, Renan Oliveira ↑,
- 73', Rockov E. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 2, Tanzharikov A. ⚽,
- 79', Djurickovic M. 🟨,
- 87', Jovic F. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 89', Barac M. ↓, Kasym A. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 93', 1 - 3, Jairo J. ⚽,
- 96', 2 - 3, Renan Oliveira ⚽,
- 105+1', Djurickovic M. 🟨,
- 110', Vatajelu B. ↓, Umaniyazov M. ↑,
- 120', Kyeremeh F. ↓, Unusic B. ↑,
- 120', Guliashvili G. ↓, Julardzija E. ↑,
- 120+2', Umaniyazov M. 🟨,
- 120+3', Soldo V. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Romero D. (Pen),
- 1, Andjusic N. (Pen),
- 2, Tanzharikov A. (Pen),
- 2, Mehmedovic E. (Pen),
- 3, Jairo J. (Pen),
- 3, Renan Oliveira (Pen),
- 4, Samorodov M. (Pen),
- 4, Julardzija E. (Pen),
- 5, Kasym A. (Pen),
- 5, Durakovic E. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Sarajevo
31.8% | Draw
28.7% | Aktobe
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarajevo's form might have worsened.Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aktobe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarajevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aktobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarajevo - Aktobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.35) |
3.24 ↓
(3.35) |
2.38 ↓
(2.78) |
7.1%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sarajevo - Aktobe?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Sarajevo will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Aktobe will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarajevo: 35.2% – 84.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
- Recent matches Sarajevo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Aktobe is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sarajevo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Sarajevo have a series of guest games.
- Recently Aktobe have a series of home games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Sarajevo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarajevo won against Aktobe?
Sarajevo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aktobe won against Sarajevo?
Aktobe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarajevo - Aktobe were as follows:
11.07.2024
Aktobe
-
Sarajevo
0:1
Latest results of Sarajevo
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
