Result
3:3 penalties
18/07/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Kucuk Z. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 128 | 114 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 58 | 34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Cevallos J. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Umaev I. ⚽, Doumbouya A. (A),
- 44', Umaev I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Djordjevic A. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Guliashvili G. ⚽,
- 58', Djordjevic A. ↓, Andjusic N. ↑,
- 58', Bubanja V. ↓, Mehmedovic E. ↑,
- 62', Cevallos J. ↓, Kenesov A. ↑,
- 66', Doumbouya A. ↓, Bessmertnyi D. ↑,
- 66', Umaev I. ↓, Jairo J. ↑,
- 71', Catakovic H. ↓, Renan Oliveira ↑,
- 73', Rockov E. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 2, Tanzharikov A. ⚽,
- 79', Djurickovic M. 🟨,
- 87', Jovic F. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
- 89', Barac M. ↓, Kasym A. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 93', 1 - 3, Jairo J. ⚽,
- 96', 2 - 3, Renan Oliveira ⚽,
- 105+1', Djurickovic M. 🟨,
- 110', Vatajelu B. ↓, Umaniyazov M. ↑,
- 120', Kyeremeh F. ↓, Unusic B. ↑,
- 120', Guliashvili G. ↓, Julardzija E. ↑,
- 120+2', Umaniyazov M. 🟨,
- 120+3', Soldo V. 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Romero D. (Pen),
- 1, Andjusic N. (Pen),
- 2, Tanzharikov A. (Pen),
- 2, Mehmedovic E. (Pen),
- 3, Jairo J. (Pen),
- 3, Renan Oliveira (Pen),
- 4, Samorodov M. (Pen),
- 4, Julardzija E. (Pen),
- 5, Kasym A. (Pen),
- 5, Durakovic E. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Sarajevo
31.8% | Draw
28.7% | Aktobe
39.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarajevo's form might have worsened.Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aktobe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarajevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aktobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sarajevo - Aktobe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↑
(2.35) |
3.25 ↓
(3.35) |
2.37 ↓
(2.78) |
7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sarajevo - Aktobe?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Sarajevo will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Aktobe will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarajevo: 35.2% – 84.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.
- Recent matches Sarajevo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Aktobe is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sarajevo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Sarajevo have a series of guest games.
- Recently Aktobe have a series of home games.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Sarajevo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarajevo won against Aktobe?
Sarajevo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aktobe won against Sarajevo?
Aktobe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarajevo - Aktobe were as follows:
11.07.2024
Aktobe
-
Sarajevo
0:1
Latest results of Sarajevo
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
