Result
1:0
03/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 27
- Referee: Oluwatobi M. (Nga)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Nigeria | NPFL Live |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Sabastine U. ⚽,
- 24', Mohammed I. ↓, Nasiru S. ↑,
- 27', Attah H. 🟨,
- 39', 🟨,
- 40', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ebedebiri E. ↓, Ndon W. ↑,
- 50', Achare M. ↓, Ibrahim M. ↑,
- 50', Adamu S. ↓, Abubakar A. ↑,
- 65', Kabir O. ↓, Apollos F. ↑,
- 65', Abson M. ↓, Orji C. ↑,
- 78', Oguntayo S. ↓, Tochukwu S. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 87', Olayemi Ogunleye J. ↓, Edidiong E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akwa United 64.7% | Draw 23.3% | Katsina United 12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akwa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Akwa United's performance.Katsina United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akwa United than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akwa United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katsina United than the current prediction. (+3%)
Akwa United - Katsina United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↓ (1.59) |
3.91 ↑ (3.25) |
7.53 ↑ (6.11) |
9.9% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Akwa United won 2.
- Akwa United is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Katsina United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Akwa United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Akwa United is a favorite.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Akwa United won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Akwa United won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:1 (average 2:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Akwa United won against Katsina United?
Akwa United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Katsina United won against Akwa United?
Katsina United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akwa United - Katsina United were as follows:
17.10.2024
Katsina United
-
Akwa United
1:0
12.06.2024
Akwa United
-
Katsina United
3:1
Latest results of Akwa United
Latest results of Katsina United
Nigerian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rivers United | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 58 |
| 2 | Rangers Int'l | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 39:24 | 15 | 56 |
| 3 | Ikorodu City | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 37:30 | 7 | 55 |
| 4 | Abia Warriors | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 28:26 | 2 | 52 |
| 5 | Shooting | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 51 |
| 6 | Nasarawa | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 31:27 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Bendel | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 49 |
| 8 | Plateau United | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 37:37 | 0 | 46 |
| 9 | Barau | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 46 |
| 10 | Katsina Utd | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | Niger Tornadoes | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 34:31 | 3 | 43 |
| 12 | Enyimba | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 1 | 43 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 33:36 | -3 | 43 |
| 14 | El Kanemi | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 25:38 | -13 | 43 |
| 15 | Kano Pillars | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 30:35 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Kwara | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:29 | 0 | 40 |
| 17 | Bayelsa United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 30:35 | -5 | 40 |
| 18 | Wikki Tourist | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 40 |
| 19 | Remo Stars | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 35:43 | -8 | 40 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifa | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:37 | -3 | 39 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation