Al-Adalh vs Al-Jabalain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/12/2025 at 09:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium (Al Ahsa).

Division 1 - Round 14
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.50	1.97
Ball Possession
28%	72%
Total shots
6	21
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	8
Passes
65% (138/212)	89% (489/548)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50	1.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.91	0.67
Total shots
6	21
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
2	13
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
5	12
Shots outside the Box
1	9
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	8
Touches in opposition box
11	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
13	11
Passes
65% (138/212)	89% (489/548)
Long passes
40% (21/52)	70% (31/44)
Passes in final third
58% (37/64)	78% (165/211)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	31% (11/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	2.01
Throw-ins
12	21
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
61% (11/18)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
43	40
Clearances
42	27
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.67	0.91
Goals prevented
-0.33	-1.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Al Salem R. ⚽, Al Jamman A. (A),
35', Al Harbi F. 🟨,
36', Al Khalaf O. 🟨,
45+3', Al Mohammed H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, Al Majhad H. ⚽, Al Khalaf O. (A),
53', Al Bukhari A. 🟨,
54', Al Harbi F. ↓, Al Harbi A. ↑,
54', Al Bloushi R. ↓, Al Habib M. ↑,
54', Madani I. ↓, Al-Shammari K. S. ↑,
61', Bukia A. ↓, Chivaviro R. ↑,
63', Novais J. 🟨,
63', Al Mohammed H. 🟨,
69', Pessoa P. 🟨,
70', Al Nuweqi H. ↓, Ashraf A. ↑,
76', Al Bukhari A. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
76', Al Jamman A. ↓, Al Ibrahim R. ↑,
90', Al Salem R. ↓, Al Marri M. ↑,
90+10', 2 - 1, Pessoa P. ⚽, Cinari E. (A),

Chances of winning

Al-Adalh
23.4%

Draw
26.8%

Al-Jabalain
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.6%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

28.1%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Adalh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Al-Jabalain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Jabalain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Jabalain than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Jabalain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.3)	3.39 ↑ (3.2)	1.82 ↓ (2.1)	10.3% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Jabalain will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Jabalain will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Adalh won 3.
Recent performances by Al-Adalh have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al-Jabalain is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Al-Jabalain is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Adalh won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Adalh won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Adalh won against Al-Jabalain?

Al-Adalh has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Jabalain won against Al-Adalh?

Al-Jabalain has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain were as follows:

26.02.2025 Al-Jabalain - Al-Adalh 1:2

05.10.2024 Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain 1:1

09.03.2024 Al-Jabalain - Al-Adalh 1:2

23.10.2023 Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain 2:1

Latest results of Al-Adalh

25.12.2025 Al Jandal - Al-Adalh 0:3 ✺

20.12.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Wahda Mecca 1:4 ✺

13.12.2025 Al-Batin - Al-Adalh 1:1 ✺

27.11.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Ula 1:1 ✺

21.11.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Bukayriyah 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Al-Jabalain

25.12.2025 Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula 2:2 ✺

19.12.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Jabalain 0:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah 3:0 ✺

29.11.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Jabalain 0:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Al-Jabalain - Al Raed 2:1 ✺

Saudi Division 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Abha	25	19	5	1	53:20	33	62
2	Al Diriyah	24	16	4	4	56:24	32	52
3	Al-Ula	25	14	7	4	51:25	26	49
4	Al Jabalain	25	14	7	4	48:27	21	49
5	Al-Faisaly	25	12	9	4	51:30	21	45
6	Al Orubah	25	13	5	7	40:33	7	44
7	Al Raed	25	10	8	7	45:34	11	38
8	Al Bukiryah	25	10	4	11	28:36	-8	34
9	Al Zulfi	25	8	8	9	31:32	-1	32
10	Al Wehda	25	9	5	11	39:43	-4	32
11	Al Taee	25	8	7	10	37:38	-1	31
12	Jeddah	25	7	10	8	28:32	-4	31
13	Al Anwar	25	7	9	9	34:37	-3	30
14	Al Jandal	25	5	8	12	20:44	-24	23
15	Al Adalah	25	3	8	14	32:57	-25	17
16	Al Arabi	25	4	4	17	12:43	-31	16
17	Al Batin	24	3	5	16	25:47	-22	14
18	Al Jubail	25	3	5	17	22:50	-28	14

      Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
      Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation