Result
Postponed
28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
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World | FIFA+ |
Chances of winning
Nejmeh 47% | Draw 29.1% | Al-Ahed 23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nejmeh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)The chances for Al-Ahed have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nejmeh than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Nejmeh - Al-Ahed Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↓ (1.93) |
3.11 ↓ (3.23) |
3.79 ↓ (3.84) |
10.6% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nejmeh won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Al-Ahed may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Nejmeh could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nejmeh won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nejmeh won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nejmeh won against Al-Ahed?
Nejmeh has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahed won against Nejmeh?
Al-Ahed has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nejmeh - Al-Ahed were as follows:
01.11.2025
Al-Ahed
-
Nejmeh
0:4
03.07.2025
Nejmeh
-
Al-Ahed
4:1
18.05.2025
Nejmeh
-
Al-Ahed
1:1
19.04.2025
Al-Ahed
-
Nejmeh
1:0
26.01.2025
Nejmeh
-
Al-Ahed
1:2
Latest results of Al-Ahed
Lebanese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ansar | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37:8 | 29 | 41 |
| 2 | Jwayya | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 25:6 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | Nejmeh SC | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28:8 | 20 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Ahed | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Safa | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:10 | 9 | 26 |
| 6 | Al Sahel | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Al Hikma | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Al-Mabarrah | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 18 |
| 9 | Al Riyadi Abbasiyah | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 17 |
| 10 | Tadamon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 |
| 11 | Racing | 16 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4:50 | -46 | 1 |
| 12 | Bourj FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
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