Result
1:2 penalties
25/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Cup UAE / Qatar - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (326/388) | 86% (343/401) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (326/388) | 86% (343/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (25/46) | 63% (37/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (49/82) | 74% (70/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 42% (8/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Vinicius Mello ⚽, Bruno (A),
- 65', Yansane S. 🟨,
- 65', Jassem Mohammed ↓, Yassine I. ↑,
- 66', Mansour H. ↓, Reyed A. ↑,
- 71', Willyan Rocha 🟨,
- 73', Lagrimi I. ↓, Akonnor R. ↑,
- 73', Banza S. ↓, Adel I. ↑,
- 75', Tihi R. 🟨,
- 77', Fettouhi D. 🟨,
- 81', Fekir N. ↓, Ramadan A. ↑,
- 81', Bruno ↓, Aberdin N. ↑,
- 89', Doumbouya A. ↓, Gannan S. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Draxler J. ⚽, Vlap M. (A),
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, Ramadan A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Yansane S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Vinicius Mello (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Fettouhi D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Adel I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Exposito E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Akonnor R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Draxler J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Willyan Rocha (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Vlap M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Al Hammadi K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Gannan S. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Al-Jazira
50.3% | Draw
27.4% | Al-Ahli Doha
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Jazira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Jazira's performance.Al-Ahli Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ahli Doha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Jazira than the current prediction. (-28.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Jazira that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (+29.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ahli Doha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Jazira - Al-Ahli Doha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(4.09) |
3.36 ↓
(3.4) |
4.13 ↑
(1.77) |
8.6%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Played on the field of the visiting team.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Al-Ahli Doha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al Jazira is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ahli Doha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Ahli Doha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Jazira won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Al-Jazira has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Al-Jazira?
Al-Ahli Doha has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Jazira - Al-Ahli Doha were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Jazira
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Draw
2026Final| 1 | Al-Gharafa | Al Sharjah | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Al Wahda | Al-Duhail | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Al-Sadd | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Al Jazira | Al Ahli Doha | 1 : 2 |
