Result
1:3
31/01/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 14
- Referee: Al Mazeed M. A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
 Qatar | Al Kass One, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (517/615) | 74% (201/271) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (517/615) | 74% (201/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 36% (17/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (97/144) | 61% (48/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.42 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Aiash M. ⚽,
- 35', Gannan S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', Danzabe R. 🟨,
- 48', 0 - 2, Joao Pedro ⚽, Yan (A),
- 53', Al Hadhrami N. 🟨,
- 59', Mohammed K. ↓, Al Ishaq M. ↑,
- 59', Amraoui A. ↓, Exposito E. ↑,
- 62', Yassine I. 🟨,
- 62', Danzabe R. ↓, Masoud I. ↑,
- 68', Gannan S. ↓, Mohammed H. ↑,
- 68', Yassine I. ↓, Jassem Mohammed ↑,
- 72', 0 - 3, Joao Pedro ⚽, Al Ahrak A. (A),
- 73', Al Hadhrami N. ↓, Ibrahim A. ↑,
- 76', Fettouhi D. 🟨,
- 77', Aiash M. 🟨,
- 81', Vlap M. ↓, Diallo I. ↑,
- 84', Yan ↓, Russo F. ↑,
- 84', Aiash M. ↓, Baksh N. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 3, Fettouhi D. ⚽, Reyed A. (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Doha
38% | Draw
27.1% | Qatar SC
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Qatar SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ahli Doha that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qatar SC than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qatar SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Ahli Doha - Qatar SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.72) |
3.4 ↓
(3.41) |
2.64 ↑
(2.32) |
8.5%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Doha - Qatar SC?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 3.
- In recent matches, Al-Ahli Doha has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Qatar SC has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Qatar SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli Doha won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Qatar SC?
Al-Ahli Doha has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qatar SC won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Qatar SC has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Doha - Qatar SC were as follows:
30.08.2025
Qatar SC
-
Al-Ahli Doha
2:0
04.05.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Qatar SC
1:0
07.02.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Qatar SC
0:3
04.10.2024
Qatar SC
-
Al-Ahli Doha
0:1
14.09.2024
Qatar SC
-
Al-Ahli Doha
0:1
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Latest results of Qatar SC
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Umm-Salal | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 16 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 14 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
