Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Shabab Al-Ahli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Result
4:3
16/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
chinaChinaiQIYI
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, Vidio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.761.35
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
45
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
23
Passes
77% (267/345)83% (362/434)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.761.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.282.91
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2317
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1416
Passes
77% (267/345)83% (362/434)
Long passes
44% (24/55)33% (12/36)
Passes in final third
59% (42/71)72% (72/100)
Crosses
50% (3/6)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.58
Throw ins
2725
Fouls
1614
Tackles
87% (13/15)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4850
Clearances
1610
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
21
Goalkeeper saves
21
xGOT faced
2.912.28
Goals prevented
-0.09-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Al Buraikan F. ⚽, Mahrez R. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 0, Planic B. (Own goal),
  • 45+3', 3 - 0, Millot E. ⚽, Al Hawsawi Z. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Galeno ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
  • 46', Khamis S. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
  • 46', Al Hawsawi Z. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
  • 46', Ibanez ↓, Dams M. ↑,
  • 52', 4 - 0, Abu Al Shamat S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 60', Mahrez R. ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
  • 61', Joao Marcelo ↓, Kauan Santos ↑,
  • 61', Al Ghassani Y. ↓, Breno ↑,
  • 66', 4 - 1, Breno ⚽, Maksimovic N. (A),
  • 70', Atangana V. ↓, Al Muwallad E. ↑,
  • 74', Rikelme ↓, Gonzalez Baquero S. ↑,
  • 78', 4 - 2, Breno ⚽,
  • 79', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
  • 90', Al Muwallad E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 4 - 3, Al Mansouri M. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al-Ahli Jeddah
49.1%		Draw
24.8%		Shabab Al-Ahli
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65% 19.3% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2% 18.7% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahli Jeddah's form might have worsened.
  • Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shabab Al-Ahli's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+18.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shabab Al-Ahli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Al-Ahli Jeddah - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.92 ↑
    (1.44)    		 3.79 ↓
    (4.86)    		 3.62 ↓
    (5.97)    		 6.2%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah - Shabab Al-Ahli?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 45% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH -1 - Al-Ahli (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Al-Ahli (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Al-Ahli (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Al-Ahli is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Shabab Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Al-Ahli is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Al-Ahli will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ahli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Al-Ahli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    13.02.2026 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:5 ✺
    09.02.2026 Al-Wahda - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:0 ✺
    05.02.2026 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Hazem 2:0 ✺
    02.02.2026 Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:0 ✺
    28.01.2026 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ettifaq Dammam 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
    14.02.2026 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Wahda Postponed
    09.02.2026 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Hilal 0:0 ✺
    05.02.2026 Al-Sharjah - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:4 ✺
    01.02.2026 Shabab Al-Ahli - Khor Fakkan 3:1
    28.01.2026 Ajman Club - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1 ✺
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe ✔ 751114:6816
    2Machida ✔ 742112:5714
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ 74218:4414
    4Melbourne City ✔ 74129:7213
    5Buriram73228:8011
    6Seoul72328:719
    7Johor DT72237:708
    8Gangwon72239:11-28
    9Ulsan HD72236:8-28
    10Chengdu Rongcheng71335:8-36
    11Shanghai Shenhua71155:11-64
    12Shanghai Port70342:11-93


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal ✔ 871017:61122
    2Al Ahli SC ✔ 852121:91217
    3Tractor ✔ 742110:4614
    4Al Wahda ✔ 842211:7414
    5Al Ittihad ✔ 740318:81012
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:14011
    7Al-Duhail822416:1608
    8Al-Sadd722311:12-18
    9Al Sharjah82248:16-88
    10Al-Gharafa72057:19-126
    11Al Shorta81256:20-145
    12Nasaf Qarshi81169:17-84

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Ahli SC is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Al Ittihad is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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