Result
05/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Al-Shabab Manama 28.2% | Draw 28.1% | Al-Ahli Manama 43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shabab Manama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Al-Ahli Manama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Manama than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Manama than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Al-Shabab Manama - Al-Ahli Manama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.21 ↓ (3.24) |
3.21 ↓ (3.27) |
2.07 ↓ (2.09) |
10.7% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Al-Ahli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al-Ahli could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Al-Shabab won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shabab won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Manama won against Al-Ahli Manama?
Al-Shabab Manama has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Manama won against Al-Shabab Manama?
Al-Ahli Manama has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shabab Manama - Al-Ahli Manama were as follows:
19.10.2025
Al-Ahli Manama
-
Al-Shabab Manama
2:0
21.05.2025
Al-Shabab Manama
-
Al-Ahli Manama
0:0
06.02.2025
Al-Ahli Manama
-
Al-Shabab Manama
1:3
15.05.2024
Al-Ahli Manama
-
Al-Shabab Manama
0:1
25.12.2023
Al-Shabab Manama
-
Al-Ahli Manama
1:1
Latest results of Al-Shabab Manama
Latest results of Al-Ahli Manama
Bahraini Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Khalidiyah | 15 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Al-Muharraq | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33:4 | 29 | 36 |
| 3 | Al Riffa | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 26:10 | 16 | 33 |
| 4 | Malkia | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 23 |
| 5 | Al-Hidd | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 24:18 | 6 | 21 |
| 6 | Aali Club | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | Al-Budaiya | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 18 |
| 8 | Al-Ahli Manama | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Al-Najma | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 15 |
| 10 | Sitra | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 15 |
| 11 | Al-Shabbab | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 5:24 | -19 | 9 |
| 12 | Bahrain SC | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10:37 | -27 | 7 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation