Petrojet vs Al Ahly Cairo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 12
  • Referee: Bassiouny M. (Egy)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
egyptEgyptKora Plus, On Time Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.502.62
Ball Possession
20%80%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
115
Passes
54% (76/142)84% (464/550)
Yellow Cards
72
Expected Goals (xG)
0.502.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.072.34
Total shots
822
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
610
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
315
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
443
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1224
Passes
54% (76/142)84% (464/550)
Long passes
25% (14/56)63% (40/64)
Passes in final third
43% (23/54)73% (141/193)
Crosses
13% (1/8)28% (13/46)
Expected assists (xA)
0.342.06
Throw-ins
1628
Fouls
2412
Tackles
88% (14/16)87% (13/15)
Duels won
4367
Clearances
4313
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
2.340.07
Goals prevented
1.34-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Hamdan H. , El Gamal M. (A),
  • 13', Sonko S. 🟨,
  • 14', Ibrahim M. 🟨,
  • 18', Mohamed T. 🟨,
  • 24', Okasha M. 🟨,
  • 41', Reyad H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ibrahim M. , Bah A. ,
  • 55', El Badry M. , Diabate A. ,
  • 56', El Gamal M. , Ahmed R. ,
  • 58', Mohamed T. , Gradisar N. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Gradisar N. , Ben Romdhane M. (A),
  • 74', Salah O. 🟨,
  • 74', Trezeguet , Afsha ,
  • 74', Bencharki A. , Abdelkader A. ,
  • 84', Kenawi M. , Ghoneim A. ,
  • 85', Sonko S. , Bahbah A. ,
  • 85', Shokry M. , Kamal O. ,
  • 86', Diabate A. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Bah A. 🟨,
  • 90+11', Abdelkader A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Petrojet
11.9%
Draw
21%
Al Ahly Cairo
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.5% 19.2% 69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11% 18.4% 72.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Petrojet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrojet than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ahly Cairo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Petrojet - Al Ahly Cairo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.86
    (8.09)
    4.46
    (4.83)
    1.4
    (1.34)
    6.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Petrojet - Al Ahly Cairo?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Petrojet will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Al Ahly will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Petrojet won 0.
    • In recent matches, Petrojet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al Ahly is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Al Ahly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al Ahly is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Petrojet won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 6:29. (average 0.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Petrojet won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Petrojet - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Petrojet - Al Ahly Cairo 2:3
    06.02.2025 Al Ahly Cairo - Petrojet 2:1
    Latest results of Petrojet
    19.10.2025 ZED - Petrojet 2:1
    27.09.2025 Al Masry - Petrojet 2:3
    17.09.2025 El Gouna - Petrojet 1:1
    Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
    Egyptian Premier League Table
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    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zamalek20134332:131943
    2Pyramids20134333:151843
    3Al Ahly20117233:191440
    4Ceramica Cleopatra20115429:161338
    5Al Masry2088429:20932
    6Smouha2087521:13831
    7Enppi2079420:16430
    8Wadi Degla2078523:20329
    9ZED2078521:16529
    10El Gouna20610416:15128
    11National Bank Egypt20511418:14426
    12Petrojet20510521:23-225
    13Modern Sport2058718:24-623
    14El Gaish2057814:24-1022
    15Al Ittihad20621215:24-920
    16Ghazl El Mahallah20213512:15-319
    17Arab Contractors2039813:21-818
    18Haras El Hodood20451115:29-1417
    19Kahrabaa Ismailia20441222:37-1516
    20Pharco202998:22-1415
    21El Ismaily20321511:28-1711

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
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