Result
1:1
29/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Referee: Bassiouny M. (Egy)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 2.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 20% | 80% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (76/142) | 84% (464/550) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 2.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 2.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 15 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 54% (76/142) | 84% (464/550) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (14/56) | 63% (40/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (23/54) | 73% (141/193) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 28% (13/46) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.34 | -0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Hamdan H. ⚽, El Gamal M. (A),
- 13', Sonko S. 🟨,
- 14', Ibrahim M. 🟨,
- 18', Mohamed T. 🟨,
- 24', Okasha M. 🟨,
- 41', Reyad H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ibrahim M. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
- 55', El Badry M. ↓, Diabate A. ↑,
- 56', El Gamal M. ↓, Ahmed R. ↑,
- 58', Mohamed T. ↓, Gradisar N. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Gradisar N. ⚽, Ben Romdhane M. (A),
- 74', Salah O. 🟨,
- 74', Trezeguet ↓, Afsha ↑,
- 74', Bencharki A. ↓, Abdelkader A. ↑,
- 84', Kenawi M. ↓, Ghoneim A. ↑,
- 85', Sonko S. ↓, Bahbah A. ↑,
- 85', Shokry M. ↓, Kamal O. ↑,
- 86', Diabate A. 🟨,
- 90+10', Bah A. 🟨,
- 90+11', Abdelkader A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Petrojet
11.9% | Draw
21% | Al Ahly Cairo
67.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Petrojet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petrojet than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Ahly Cairo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Petrojet - Al Ahly Cairo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.86 ↓
(8.09) |
4.46 ↓
(4.83) |
1.4 ↑
(1.34) |
6.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Petrojet - Al Ahly Cairo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Petrojet will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Al Ahly will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Petrojet won 0.
- In recent matches, Petrojet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al Ahly is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al Ahly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al Ahly is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Petrojet won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 6:29. (average 0.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Petrojet won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Petrojet won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Petrojet has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Petrojet?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Petrojet - Al Ahly Cairo were as follows:
30.04.2025
Petrojet
-
Al Ahly Cairo
2:3
06.02.2025
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Petrojet
2:1
Latest results of Petrojet
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 24 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 23 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 19 |
| 20 | Pharco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 13 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
