Result
1:3
04/04/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA |
 Qatar | Al Kass Three, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (328/393) | 86% (362/420) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (328/393) | 86% (362/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (31/57) | 58% (29/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (50/72) | 68% (64/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.82 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', Sano S. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Marafee A. H. ⚽, Alaaeldin A. (A),
- 45', 1 - 1, Brahimi Y. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Sano S. ↓, Yousif A. ↑,
- 46', Hamed J. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
- 56', Al Naimat Y. ↓, Rodri ↑,
- 71', Moein Doozandeh A. ↓, Suhail R. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Joselu ⚽, Boussafi R. (A),
- 77', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Madibo A. O. ↑,
- 80', Alaaeldin A. ↓, Bouri S. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 3, Fadlalla S. ⚽, Madibo A. O. (A),
- 90+2', Fadlalla S. ↓, Tamer I. ↑,
- 90+3', Sassi F. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
- 90+4', Tamer I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Arabi Doha
19.6% | Draw
21.5% | Al-Gharafa
58.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Arabi Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Arabi Doha's form might have worsened.Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Gharafa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Doha than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Arabi Doha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.77 ↑
(3.65) |
4.34 ↑
(3.6) |
1.59 ↓
(1.88) |
6.9%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Gharafa will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Arabi won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match Al-Gharafa is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Arabi won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:29 (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al-Arabi won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Arabi Doha won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Arabi Doha has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Arabi Doha?
Al-Gharafa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
31.10.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Arabi Doha
3:1
30.03.2024
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Gharafa
0:1
03.11.2023
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Arabi Doha
5:4
04.05.2023
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Gharafa
3:0
13.03.2023
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Arabi Doha
0:1
Latest results of Al-Arabi Doha
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Draw
RelegationFinal| 1 | Umm-Salal | Al Markhiya | 2 : 1 |
