Result
1:2
15/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (402/464) | 66% (157/237) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (402/464) | 66% (157/237) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (27/50) | 40% (27/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (106/139) | 47% (28/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (8/44) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Joselu ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
- 24', Al Naimi M. 🟨,
- 27', Coman F. 🟨,
- 31', Coman F. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
- 45+3', Fathi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', Olunga M. ↓, Toko Ekambi K. ↑,
- 64', Al Naimi M. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Sarabia P. ⚽, Veretout J. (A),
- 69', Sano S. 🟨,
- 71', Surag A. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
- 71', Al-Ali R. A. ↓, Fadlalla S. ↑,
- 72', Djalo A. ↓, Normann M. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Hamed J. ⚽, Joselu (A),
- 80', Lihadji I. ↓, Aladin H. ↑,
- 84', Joselu 🟥,
- 90+1', Normann M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Al Oui A. ↓, Al Khlif Y. M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Arabi Doha
41.8% | Draw
24.5% | Al-Gharafa
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Arabi Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Doha than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.46) |
3.74 ↓
(3.78) |
2.72 ↑
(2.46) |
9.1%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Al-Arabi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Arabi Doha won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Arabi Doha has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Arabi Doha?
Al-Gharafa has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
22.08.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Arabi Doha
2:1
04.04.2025
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Gharafa
1:3
31.10.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Arabi Doha
3:1
30.03.2024
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Gharafa
0:1
03.11.2023
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Arabi Doha
5:4
Latest results of Al-Arabi Doha
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Ahli Doha | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 15 |
| 11 | Umm-Salal | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
