Result
2:2
28/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.38 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (334/401) | 84% (343/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 2.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (334/401) | 84% (343/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 57% (31/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (55/84) | 71% (63/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.24 | 2.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Sarabia P. 🟨,
- 15', Al Minhali A. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Roger Guedes ⚽, Wesley (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Moein Doozandeh A. ↓, Fathi A. ↑,
- 48', Wesley 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 1, Sarabia P. ⚽,
- 66', Gaber J. ↓, Yousif A. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Perez A. ⚽, Laye G. (A),
- 73', Fathi A. 🟨,
- 76', Tiago Silva ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
- 76', Alaaeldin A. ↓, Hatem A. ↑,
- 81', Lihadji I. ↓, Simo ↑,
- 82', Al Minhali A. ↓, Ahmed H. ↑,
- 83', Amaro A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Sarabia P. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 90+1', Al Naimi M. ↓, Aladin H. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Saleh M. ⚽, Gabriel Pereira (A),
- 90+9', Abdulla Maarafiya 🟥,
Chances of winning
Al-Arabi Doha
26.9% | Draw
20.8% | Al-Rayyan
52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Arabi Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Rayyan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Doha than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Rayyan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(3) |
4.42 ↑
(3.8) |
1.76 ↓
(1.95) |
8.6%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Rayyan?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Al-Arabi will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Al-Rayyan will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Rayyan: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Rayyan will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 1.
- In recent matches, Al-Arabi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Rayyan is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Rayyan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Al-Rayyan could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:31. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Arabi Doha won against Al-Rayyan?
Al-Arabi Doha has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Rayyan won against Al-Arabi Doha?
Al-Rayyan has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Rayyan were as follows:
27.02.2025
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Arabi Doha
2:1
26.09.2024
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Rayyan
2:1
07.09.2024
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Arabi Doha
3:0
01.03.2024
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Rayyan
2:3
23.09.2023
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Arabi Doha
1:0
Latest results of Al-Arabi Doha
Latest results of Al-Rayyan
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Ahli Doha | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 15 |
| 11 | Umm-Salal | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
