Result
4:2
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 45', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 63', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 83', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 87', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Baqaa 45.3% | Draw 28.2% | Sama Al Sarhan 26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Baqaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Sama Al Sarhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Baqaa than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Baqaa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sama Al Sarhan than the current prediction. (+4%)
Al-Baqaa - Sama Al Sarhan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↑ (1.98) |
3.25 ↓ (3.42) |
3.47 ↓ (3.57) |
9.1% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Sama Al Sarhan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al-Baqaa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Baqaa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Baqaa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 2.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Baqaa won against Sama Al Sarhan?
Al-Baqaa has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sama Al Sarhan won against Al-Baqaa?
Sama Al Sarhan has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Baqaa - Sama Al Sarhan were as follows:
28.11.2025
Al-Baqaa
-
Sama Al Sarhan
3:0
31.10.2025
Sama Al Sarhan
-
Al-Baqaa
1:1
31.07.2025
Al-Baqaa
-
Sama Al Sarhan
2:0
Latest results of Al-Baqaa
Latest results of Sama Al Sarhan
Jordan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hussein | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 59:15 | 44 | 49 |
| 2 | Al-Faisaly Amman | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 45:20 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Al Wehdat | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 38:17 | 21 | 46 |
| 4 | Al Ramtha | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 31:18 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Al Salt | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 29 |
| 6 | Al Jazeera Amman | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 24:38 | -14 | 29 |
| 7 | Al Buqaa | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 35:55 | -20 | 25 |
| 8 | Shabab Al Ordon | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 16:32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Al Ahli | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 19:37 | -18 | 17 |
| 10 | Sama Al Sarhan | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13:45 | -32 | 6 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification: )
Relegation