Al Dhafra vs Shabab Al-Ahli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:5
20/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • UAE League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesADtv
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.223.36
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
323
Shots on target
010
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
26
Passes
80% (235/293)86% (415/485)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.223.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.004.15
Total shots
323
Shots on target
010
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
18
Shots inside the box
213
Shots outside the box
110
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1021
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1714
Passes
80% (235/293)86% (415/485)
Long passes
42% (20/48)53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
67% (34/51)69% (74/108)
Crosses
25% (4/16)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.54
Throw ins
1728
Fouls
1417
Tackles
38% (3/8)82% (9/11)
Duels won
3657
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
40
xGOT faced
4.150.00
Goals prevented
-0.850.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Al Mansouri M. , Breno (A),
  • 15', Rabja M. 🟨,
  • 26', Rabja M. , Al Marzouqi Y. ,
  • 33', Kauan Santos 🟨,
  • 45+1', Djooh R. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 0 - 2, Ezatolahi S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 61', Mateus Henrique , Kaiky ,
  • 61', Kauan Santos , Rikelme ,
  • 67', 0 - 3, Guilherme , Rikelme (A),
  • 71', Jobson 🟨,
  • 74', 0 - 4, Breno , Adil S. (A),
  • 75', Adil S. , Azmoun S. ,
  • 75', Ezatolahi S. , Al Nuaimi E. ,
  • 77', 0 - 5, Al Mansouri M. , Azmoun S. (A),
  • 78', Jobson , Ibrahim K. ,
  • 78', Djooh R. , Al Harbi M. ,
  • 79', Marcelinho , Mohammed Z. ,
  • 81', Breno , Joao Marcelo ,
  • 85', El Khaloui M. , Soussi A. ,

Chances of winning


Al Dhafra
13.6%
Draw
19%
Shabab Al-Ahli
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.6% 18.2% 68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9% 17.3% 71.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Al Dhafra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.76
    (6.85)
    4.83
    (5.11)
    1.36
    (1.36)
    8.8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Shabab Al-Ahli (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Dhafra won 1.
    • Al Dhafra has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Shabab Al-Ahli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Dhafra won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al Dhafra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Dhafra 2:0
    14.02.2023 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Dhafra 2:0
    02.10.2022 Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli 3:2
    Latest results of Al Dhafra
    13.02.2026 Al Bataeh - Al Dhafra 1:1
    06.02.2026 Al Dhafra - Khor Fakkan 2:3
    28.01.2026 Al Dhafra - Al-Sharjah 0:2
    19.01.2026 Ajman Club - Al Dhafra 1:1
    08.01.2026 Al Dhafra - Al Ain 1:2
    Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
    UAE Football League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ain18135038:162244
    2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai17133138:53342
    3Al Wahda1796228:141433
    4Al Jazira1894528:161231
    5Al Wasl1786321:16530
    6Al Nasr1858522:23-123
    7Ajman1872919:24-523
    8Ittihad Kalba1855819:28-920
    9Khorfakkan1854926:33-719
    10Al Dhafra18531024:37-1318
    11Al Sharjah17521022:32-1017
    12Bani Yas17421116:30-1414
    13Dibba Al Fujairah17341016:32-1613
    14Al Bataeh18341117:28-1113

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Division 1