Al Dhafra vs Shabab Al-Ahli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium (Madinat Zayed).

UAE League - Round 17
Where to Watch on TV:


United-arab-emirates	ADtv
World	Triller TV+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.22	3.36
Ball possession
38%	62%
Total shots
3	23
Shots on target
0	10
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
2	6
Passes
80% (235/293)	86% (415/485)
Yellow cards
3	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.22	3.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	4.15
Total shots
3	23
Shots on target
0	10
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked shots
1	8
Shots inside the box
2	13
Shots outside the box
1	10
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
10	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
17	14
Passes
80% (235/293)	86% (415/485)
Long passes
42% (20/48)	53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
67% (34/51)	69% (74/108)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	1.54
Throw ins
17	28
Fouls
14	17
Tackles
38% (3/8)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
36	57
Clearances
23	17
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	0
xGOT faced
4.15	0.00
Goals prevented
-0.85	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Al Mansouri M. ⚽, Breno (A),
15', Rabja M. 🟨,
26', Rabja M. ↓, Al Marzouqi Y. ↑,
33', Kauan Santos 🟨,
45+1', Djooh R. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 2, Ezatolahi S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', Mateus Henrique ↓, Kaiky ↑,
61', Kauan Santos ↓, Rikelme ↑,
67', 0 - 3, Guilherme ⚽, Rikelme (A),
71', Jobson 🟨,
74', 0 - 4, Breno ⚽, Adil S. (A),
75', Adil S. ↓, Azmoun S. ↑,
75', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Al Nuaimi E. ↑,
77', 0 - 5, Al Mansouri M. ⚽, Azmoun S. (A),
78', Jobson ↓, Ibrahim K. ↑,
78', Djooh R. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
79', Marcelinho ↓, Mohammed Z. ↑,
81', Breno ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
85', El Khaloui M. ↓, Soussi A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al Dhafra
13.6%

Draw
19%

Shabab Al-Ahli
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

18.2%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

17.3%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Al Dhafra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.76 ↓ (6.85)	4.83 ↓ (5.11)	1.36 (1.36)	8.8% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.5 - Shabab Al-Ahli (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Dhafra won 1.
Al Dhafra has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Shabab Al-Ahli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Dhafra won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Dhafra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Al Dhafra won against Shabab Al-Ahli?

Al Dhafra has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Al Dhafra?

Shabab Al-Ahli has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:

16.08.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Dhafra 2:0

14.02.2023 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Dhafra 2:0

02.10.2022 Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli 3:2

Latest results of Al Dhafra

13.02.2026 Al Bataeh - Al Dhafra 1:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Al Dhafra - Khor Fakkan 2:3 ✺

28.01.2026 Al Dhafra - Al-Sharjah 0:2 ✺

19.01.2026 Ajman Club - Al Dhafra 1:1 ✺

08.01.2026 Al Dhafra - Al Ain 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli

16.02.2026 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Shabab Al-Ahli 4:3 ✺

09.02.2026 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Hilal 0:0 ✺

05.02.2026 Al-Sharjah - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:4 ✺

01.02.2026 Shabab Al-Ahli - Khor Fakkan 3:1 ✺

28.01.2026 Ajman Club - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ain	20	15	5	0	41:16	25	50
2	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	20	15	4	1	48:7	41	49
3	Al Jazira	20	11	4	5	33:18	15	37
4	Al Wahda	20	9	7	4	29:17	12	34
5	Al Wasl	20	9	6	5	24:20	4	33
6	Al Nasr	20	6	9	5	25:25	0	27
7	Ajman	20	7	3	10	20:26	-6	24
8	Al Sharjah	20	6	3	11	29:37	-8	21
9	Ittihad Kalba	20	5	6	9	22:35	-13	21
10	Bani Yas	20	6	3	11	20:31	-11	21
11	Khorfakkan	20	5	5	10	27:36	-9	20
12	Al Dhafra	20	5	3	12	25:42	-17	18
13	Al Bataeh	20	4	5	11	19:29	-10	17
14	Dibba Al Fujairah	20	3	5	12	17:40	-23	14

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1