Al-Hilal vs Al Duhail – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kingdom Arena (Riyadh).

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	ESPN Extra
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Qatar	Al Kass Five, Shoof
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.30	0.66
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
5	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
89% (571/642)	81% (307/381)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30	0.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.64	0.23
Total shots
20	10
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
8	5
Shots inside the Box
11	7
Shots outside the Box
9	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
35	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
9	10
Passes
89% (571/642)	81% (307/381)
Long passes
72% (41/57)	42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
78% (171/220)	60% (50/83)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.91	0.24
Throw-ins
21	11
Fouls
10	9
Tackles
80% (4/5)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
32	28
Clearances
15	32
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.23	1.64
Goals prevented
-0.77	-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Boulbina A. ⚽, Sabaly Y. (A),
40', Cancelo J. ↓, Al Yami H. ↑,
44', Boudiaf K. ↓, Luiz Ceara ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Castelletto J. ↓, Bamba I. ↑,
46', Tambakti H. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Nunez D. ⚽, Al Yami H. (A),
66', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Hernandez T. ⚽,
72', Aymen Y. 🟨,
78', Sabaly Y. ↓, Al Brake S. ↑,
81', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
81', Malcom ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
90+3', Luiz Ceara 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4kecve92

Official Live

Chances of winning

Al-Hilal
76.6%

Draw
13.9%

Al Duhail
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.6%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

18.5%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.

Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Al-Hilal - Al Duhail Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.39)	6.75 ↑ (4.85)	9.9 ↑ (7.9)	6.4% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al Duhail?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Al Duhail will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 59% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Al Duhail (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 3.
Al-Hilal has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Al Duhail has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Al-Hilal is the obvious favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Hilal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al Duhail?

Al-Hilal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Duhail won against Al-Hilal?

Al Duhail has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al Duhail were as follows:

26.02.2023 Al Duhail - Al-Hilal 0:7

Latest results of Al-Hilal

13.09.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya 2:2 ✺

29.08.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Riyadh 2:0 ✺

14.08.2025 Waldhof Mannheim - Al-Hilal 2:3 ✺

10.08.2025 Aarau - Al-Hilal 0:6 ✺

06.08.2025 Balingen - Al-Hilal 1:6 ✺

Latest results of Al Duhail

12.09.2025 Al Duhail - Umm-Salal 4:2 ✺

02.09.2025 Al-Ahli Doha - Al Duhail 0:0 ✺

28.08.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al Duhail 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Wakrah 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Shahania 1:1 ✺

AFC Champions League Table

League phase

East

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
3	Buriram	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
4	Ulsan HD	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
5	Gangwon	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
6	Seoul	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
7	Machida	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
8	Shanghai Shenhua	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
9	Johor DT	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
10	Chengdu Rongcheng	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
11	Melbourne City	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
12	Shanghai Port	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0

West

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ahli SC	1	1	0	0	4:2	2	3
2	Al Sharjah	1	1	0	0	4:3	1	3
3	Al Wahda	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
4	Al Hilal	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
5	Al-Sadd	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
6	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
7	Al Shorta	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
8	Tractor	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
9	Al-Gharafa	1	0	0	1	3:4	-1	0
10	Al Ittihad	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
11	Al-Duhail	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
12	Nasaf Qarshi	1	0	0	1	2:4	-2	0

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)