Result
2:1
16/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1
- Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, Q Football Asia, TOD |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | RCTI |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Qatar | Al Kass Five, Shoof |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (571/642) | 81% (307/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (571/642) | 81% (307/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (41/57) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (171/220) | 60% (50/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Boulbina A. ⚽, Sabaly Y. (A),
- 40', Cancelo J. ↓, Al Yami H. ↑,
- 44', Boudiaf K. ↓, Luiz Ceara ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Castelletto J. ↓, Bamba I. ↑,
- 46', Tambakti H. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 1, Nunez D. ⚽, Al Yami H. (A),
- 66', Marcos Leonardo ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Hernandez T. ⚽,
- 72', Aymen Y. 🟨,
- 78', Sabaly Y. ↓, Al Brake S. ↑,
- 81', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
- 81', Malcom ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
- 90+3', Luiz Ceara 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4kecve92
Chances of winning
Al-Hilal
76.6% | Draw
13.9% | Al Duhail
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Al-Hilal - Al Duhail Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.39) |
6.75 ↑
(4.85) |
9.9 ↑
(7.9) |
6.4%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al Duhail?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Al Duhail will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 59% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Al Duhail (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 3.
- Al-Hilal has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Al Duhail has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Hilal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Hilal is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Hilal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al Duhail?
Al-Hilal has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Duhail won against Al-Hilal?
Al Duhail has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al Duhail were as follows:
26.02.2023
Al Duhail
-
Al-Hilal
0:7
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Latest results of Al Duhail
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
