Result
2:1
04/02/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA |
 Qatar | Al Kass One, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.28 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (283/341) | 77% (257/335) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (283/341) | 77% (257/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (23/40) | 33% (21/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (67/96) | 55% (40/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | 0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Luiz Ceara 🟥,
- 25', Zakaria S. 🟨,
- 27', Tannane O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', Bourigeaud B. 🟥,
- 43', Jamshid T. ↓, Aymen Y. ↑,
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Mance A. ⚽, Cristo (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', El Sayed A. ↓, Mansour K. ↑,
- 46', Piatek K. ↓, Mohammed I. ↑,
- 51', Laidouni N. 🟨,
- 51', 1 - 1, Al Rawi B. ⚽,
- 54', Mansour K. 🟨,
- 59', Hazaa A. ↓, Said F. ↑,
- 71', Bamba I. 🟨,
- 71', Aholou J. ↓, Kouassi J. E. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Laidouni N. ⚽, Tannane O. (A),
- 82', Cristo 🟨,
- 85', Cristo ↓, Haroon D. ↑,
- 85', Saad K. ↓, Al Hajri S. ↑,
- 90+8', Bamba I. ↓, Hamza M. ↑,
- 90+10', Haroon D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Umm-Salal
12.7% | Draw
17.7% | Al Duhail
69.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Al Duhail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Duhail's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Umm-Salal - Al Duhail Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.29 ↑
(6.01) |
5.2 ↑
(4.6) |
1.33 ↓
(1.44) |
8.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Umm-Salal - Al Duhail?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al Duhail (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Al Duhail may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al Duhail has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al Duhail is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:41. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Umm-Salal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Umm-Salal won against Al Duhail?
Umm-Salal has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Duhail won against Umm-Salal?
Al Duhail has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umm-Salal - Al Duhail were as follows:
19.01.2026
Umm-Salal
-
Al Duhail
3:0
12.09.2025
Al Duhail
-
Umm-Salal
4:2
31.01.2025
Umm-Salal
-
Al Duhail
1:2
22.08.2024
Al Duhail
-
Umm-Salal
1:0
24.04.2024
Umm-Salal
-
Al Duhail
2:0
Latest results of Umm-Salal
Latest results of Al Duhail
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 38 |
| 2 | Shamal | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 | Al-Gharafa | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 30:29 | 1 | 34 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 38:31 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29:26 | 3 | 28 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33:34 | -1 | 28 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 27 |
| 8 | Al Wakra | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 | Umm-Salal | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Al Ahli Doha | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 19 |
| 11 | Al Sailiya | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 18 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
