Al-Jabalain vs Al-Faisaly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/01/2026 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.911.37
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
23
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
96
Passes
83% (313/376)80% (233/291)
Yellow cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
0.911.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.931.11
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
21
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
1322
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1414
Passes
83% (313/376)80% (233/291)
Long passes
54% (34/63)56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
69% (57/83)68% (48/71)
Crosses
8% (2/25)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.30
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1414
Tackles
67% (10/15)100% (10/10)
Duels won
3443
Clearances
2125
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
20
xGOT faced
1.110.93
Goals prevented
0.11-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Luvannor 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Novais J. , Al Nuweqi H. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Morato , Luvannor (A),
  • 34', Doshy M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Luvannor 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Cinari E. 🟨,
  • 55', Pessoa P. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Toure C. , Queiros D. (A),
  • 67', Pessoa P. , Al Harbi F. ,
  • 68', Cinari E. , Al-Shammari K. S. ,
  • 74', Al Mhemaid A. 🟨,
  • 80', Al Mhemaid A. , Al Nakhli M. ,
  • 80', Al Shereaf A. , Al Badah A. ,
  • 81', Madani I. , Al Habib M. ,
  • 90', Toure C. , Ashraf A. ,
  • 90+1', Doshy M. , Al Mogren A. ,
  • 90+1', Al Rahmani S. , Barnawi Y. ,
  • 90+2', Al Badah A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Jabalain
36.1%
Draw
29.3%
Al-Faisaly
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 29.7% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 30.3% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Jabalain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Al-Faisaly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Jabalain than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Faisaly than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.39)
    3.09
    (3.08)
    2.6
    (2.87)
    10.8%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Al-Jabalain will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Jabalain will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Jabalain won 1.
    • In recent matches, Al-Jabalain has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Faisaly is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Jabalain won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Jabalain won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly were as follows:
    23.01.2025 Al-Faisaly - Al-Jabalain 0:1
    20.08.2024 Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly 0:1
    19.02.2024 Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly 1:1
    14.09.2023 Al-Faisaly - Al-Jabalain 2:0
    02.02.2023 Al-Jabalain - Al-Faisaly 1:2
    Latest results of Al-Jabalain
    30.12.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain 2:1
    25.12.2025 Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula 2:2
    19.12.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Jabalain 0:0
    13.12.2025 Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah 3:0
    29.11.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Jabalain 0:0
    Latest results of Al-Faisaly
    01.01.2026 Al-Faisaly - Al Raed 5:3
    26.12.2025 Al-Faisaly - Jeddah 0:0
    20.12.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Faisaly 0:4
    14.12.2025 Al-Faisaly - Al-Orobah 0:0
    28.11.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Faisaly 0:1
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha25195153:203362
    2Al Diriyah26175462:273556
    3Al-Ula26157455:253052
    4Al Jabalain26147549:301949
    5Al Orubah26145741:33847
    6Al-Faisaly261210453:322146
    7Al Raed26118748:351341
    8Al Bukiryah261141129:36-737
    9Al Zulfi2698932:32035
    10Al Taee26881038:39-132
    11Al Wehda26951239:44-532
    12Al Anwar26710935:38-331
    13Jeddah26710928:36-831
    14Al Jandal26681222:45-2326
    15Al Adalah26381532:58-2617
    16Al Arabi26441812:44-3216
    17Al Batin26351827:53-2614
    18Al Jubail25351722:50-2814

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation