Result
4:3
19/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (264/349) | 81% (262/323) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 2.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (264/349) | 81% (262/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (39/70) | 57% (26/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (57/95) | 67% (80/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 25% (7/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.96 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 18', 1 - 0, Al Ghannam K. ⚽, Costa J. (A),
- 23', 2 - 0, Pacheco F. (Own goal),
- 34', Wesley Delgado 🟨,
- 36', 3 - 0, Wijnaldum G. ⚽, Medran A. (A),
- 39', Hendry J. 🟨,
- 44', 3 - 1, Batna M. ⚽, Vargas M. (A),
- 45+4', 3 - 2, Bendebka S. ⚽, Batna M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 4 - 2, Al Olayan M. ⚽,
- 53', Wesley Delgado ↓, Al Zubaidi F. ↑,
- 62', Al Olayan M. ↓, Al Otaibi R. ↑,
- 64', Al Ghannam K. 🟨,
- 66', Costa J. 🟨,
- 71', 4 - 3, Batna M. ⚽,
- 74', Al Ghannam K. ↓, Gluscevic M. ↑,
- 75', Kouka ↓, Al Ghamdi F. ↑,
- 75', Masoud N. ↓, Al Sahihi M. ↑,
- 76', Al Zubaidi F. 🟨,
- 83', Al Ghamdi F. 🟨,
- 89', Costa J. ↓, Ali M. ↑,
- 90+5', Khateeb A. A. 🟨,
- 90+8', Al Swealem A. 🟨,
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
36.6% | Draw
26% | Al Fateh
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ettifaq Dammam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ettifaq Dammam's form might have worsened.Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Fateh's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ettifaq Dammam than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ettifaq Dammam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Fateh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.12) |
3.59 ↓
(3.82) |
2.5 ↓
(2.97) |
7.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Al-Ettifaq will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Al Fateh will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ettifaq: 39.2% – 89.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ettifaq (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 1.
- Recent performances by Al-Ettifaq have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al Fateh is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:31. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ettifaq won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 0.8:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ettifaq Dammam won against Al Fateh?
Al-Ettifaq Dammam has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al-Ettifaq Dammam?
Al Fateh has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh were as follows:
24.10.2025
Al Fateh
-
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
2:1
14.02.2025
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
-
Al Fateh
1:2
14.09.2024
Al Fateh
-
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
1:2
03.04.2024
Al Fateh
-
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
1:0
05.10.2023
Al-Ettifaq Dammam
-
Al Fateh
1:2
Latest results of Al-Ettifaq Dammam
Latest results of Al Fateh
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 28 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 78:21 | 57 | 73 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 50:37 | 13 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 37:41 | -4 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 34 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Kholood | 29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 38:57 | -19 | 29 |
| 14 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 23:59 | -36 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 27:67 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
