Result
3:2
04/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 20
- Referee: Al Ruwaili A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
 Qatar | Al Kass Four, Al Kass One, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (388/460) | 80% (278/348) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (388/460) | 80% (278/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (55/88) | 52% (30/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 2.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 7', 1 - 0, Hamza M. ⚽,
- 20', Al Oui A. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Aladin H. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
- 37', 2 - 1, Edmilson Junior ⚽, Hamza M. (A),
- 45', 2 - 2, Sassi F. ⚽, Al Ganehi A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Sano S. 🟨,
- 59', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
- 61', Piatek K. ↓, Boulbina A. ↑,
- 61', Castelletto J. ↓, Sabaly Y. ↑,
- 61', Jamshid T. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
- 77', Hamza M. ↓, Luiz Ceara ↑,
- 80', Aladin H. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
- 85', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
- 86', Hamed J. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Ali A. ⚽,
- 90+9', Bourigeaud B. ↓, Al Abdulla R. ↑,
- 90+11', Al-Ali R. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Duhail
53.1% | Draw
23.9% | Al-Gharafa
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Duhail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.64) |
3.89 ↓
(4.23) |
4.04 ↓
(4.35) |
7.5%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 3.
- In recent matches, Al Duhail has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Gharafa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al Duhail is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Duhail won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Duhail won against Al-Gharafa?
Al Duhail has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al Duhail?
Al-Gharafa has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
14.11.2025
Al Duhail
-
Al-Gharafa
1:0
30.10.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al Duhail
3:1
23.04.2025
Al Duhail
-
Al-Gharafa
1:0
29.03.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al Duhail
0:2
27.10.2024
Al Duhail
-
Al-Gharafa
1:1
Latest results of Al Duhail
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 53:28 | 25 | 42 |
| 2 | Shamal | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 34:25 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Rayyan | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Al-Gharafa | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 5 | Al Arabi | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36:35 | 1 | 32 |
| 6 | Al-Duhail | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38:26 | 12 | 30 |
| 7 | Qatar SC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 29 |
| 8 | Al Wakra | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Al Ahli Doha | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 23 |
| 10 | Umm-Salal | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 36:53 | -17 | 20 |
| 11 | Al-Shahaniya | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 21:38 | -17 | 20 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 22:34 | -12 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
