Result
3:1
30/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Qatar | Al Kass One, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (285/344) | 86% (359/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (285/344) | 86% (359/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (38/71) | 58% (36/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (38/60) | 67% (76/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Sano S. ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
- 43', Sano S. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Luis Alberto ⚽, Al Rawi B. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Jamshid T. ↓, Mohammed I. ↑,
- 50', Gunnarsson A. 🟨,
- 52', Castelletto J. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Joselu ⚽, Brahimi Y. (A),
- 69', Al Rawi B. ↓, Hamza M. ↑,
- 69', Bourigeaud B. ↓, Boulbina A. ↑,
- 77', Verratti M. 🟥,
- 77', Al Ganehi A. 🟨,
- 84', Edmilson Junior ↓, Boudiaf K. ↑,
- 86', Al Ganehi A. ↓, Surag A. ↑,
- 90+2', Boudiaf K. 🟨,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Joselu (Pen),
- 90+6', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
- 90+10', Brahimi Y. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
- 90+10', Joselu ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
- 90+10', Fadlalla S. ↓, Al-Ali R. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Gharafa
28.6% | Draw
23.7% | Al Duhail
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Al-Gharafa - Al Duhail Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(3.11) |
3.89 ↓
(4.03) |
1.93 ↓
(1.97) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al Duhail?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Al Duhail will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Duhail: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Al Duhail may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Al Duhail has had a series of home games.
- Al Duhail might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al Duhail?
Al-Gharafa has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Duhail won against Al-Gharafa?
Al Duhail has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Al Duhail were as follows:
23.04.2025
Al Duhail
-
Al-Gharafa
1:0
29.03.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al Duhail
0:2
27.10.2024
Al Duhail
-
Al-Gharafa
1:1
01.03.2024
Al Duhail
-
Al-Gharafa
1:4
14.10.2023
Al-Gharafa
-
Al Duhail
0:2
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Latest results of Al Duhail
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | Shamal | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Qatar SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Wakra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 5 | Al Rayyan | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Sadd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Arabi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:22 | -8 | 10 |
| 9 | Al Ahli Doha | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Umm-Salal | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
