Result
1:0
05/02/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 15
- Referee: Falahi S. A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Qatar | Al Kass One, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (109/172) | 86% (420/488) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (109/172) | 86% (420/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 65% (40/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 72% (110/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 26% (9/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', El Ghazi A. 🟨,
- 36', Olwan A. ↓, Al Tairi O. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Diaz F. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
- 53', Sano S. 🟨,
- 57', Fadlalla S. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
- 57', Hamed J. ↓, Al-Ali R. A. ↑,
- 80', Tabasideh H. 🟨,
- 87', Al Tairi O. ↓, Anani Y. Z. ↑,
- 90', Tabasideh H. ↓, Yahya O. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Snana Y. ⚽,
- 90+7', Mahmoud A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Sailiya
21.8% | Draw
25.5% | Al-Gharafa
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Sailiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sailiya than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Gharafa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.25 ↓
(4.31) |
3.63 ↓
(4) |
1.76 ↑
(1.68) |
7.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 2.
- Al-Sailiya is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Gharafa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Al-Sailiya has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al-Gharafa is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Sailiya won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sailiya won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sailiya won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Sailiya has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Sailiya?
Al-Gharafa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Sailiya - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
17.10.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Sailiya
0:3
12.09.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Sailiya
2:0
03.03.2024
Al-Sailiya
-
Al-Gharafa
3:1
29.01.2023
Al-Sailiya
-
Al-Gharafa
1:2
Latest results of Al-Sailiya
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Umm-Salal | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 16 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 14 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
