Al-Shamal vs Al-Gharafa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
73:100
05/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • QBL

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6074
Field Goals Made
2339
Field Goals %
38.33%52.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
2847
2-Point Field Goals Made
1427
2-Point Field Goals %
50%57.45%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3227
3-Point Field Goals Made
912
3-Point Field Goals %
28.13%44.44%
Free Throws Attempted
2315
Free Throws Made
1810
Free Throws %
78.3%66.7%
Offensive Rebounds
312
Defensive Rebounds
2537
Total Rebounds
2849
Assists
1923
Blocks
64
Turnovers
1012
Steals
65
Personal Fouls
1214

Chances of winning


Al-Shamal
82.9%
Al-Gharafa
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Shamal's performance.
  • Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Gharafa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Shamal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Gharafa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (1.3)

    5.4
    (3.08)
    8.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 180.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 4.
    • Al-Shamal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Gharafa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Shamal is the team to beat.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1321:1336. (average 82.6:83.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shamal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 408:393. (average 81.6:78.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal 116:124
    27.01.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal 77:82
    21.12.2024 Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa 84:78
    16.12.2023 Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal 98:89
    23.04.2023 Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa 73:62
    Latest results of Al-Shamal
    01.01.2026 Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Shamal 91:83
    27.12.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Ahli Doha 73:112
    24.12.2025 Qatar SC - Al-Shamal 79:104
    22.12.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha 82:86
    10.12.2025 Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shamal 77:62
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    01.01.2026 Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah 85:98
    29.12.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Gharafa 101:82
    25.12.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa 98:77
    15.12.2025 Qatar SC - Al-Gharafa 111:99
    11.12.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd 79:102
    Draw
    Qualification - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Al Ahli (3)Bye
    2ByeAl Sadd (4)
    4Al Wakrah (5)Al Shamal (6)86 : 72

    Final
    1Al Ahli (3)Al Sadd (4)60 : 76
    2Al Ahli (3)Al Wakrah (5)85 : 73