Result
1:0
22/12/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Vietnam | K+ Action, K+, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (244/310) | 81% (366/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (244/310) | 81% (366/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/64) | 27% (11/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (52/76) | 64% (68/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Traore D. 🟨,
- 44', Brahimi Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hamed J. ↓, Surag A. ↑,
- 48', Sano S. 🟨,
- 52', Al Shamsi M. 🟥,
- 57', Brahimi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Traore D. 🟨,
- 63', Coman F. ↓, Joselu ↑,
- 66', Caio Canedo ↓, Ghorbani M. ↑,
- 75', Kruspzky F. ↓, Lazovic D. ↑,
- 75', Jadsom ↓, Khribin O. M. ↑,
- 85', Tadic D. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 0, Sano S. ⚽, Gunnarsson A. (A),
- 87', Djalo A. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
- 88', Khalifa A. B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Brahimi Y. ↓, Al-Ali R. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Gharafa
25.4% | Draw
24.8% | Al-Wahda
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Al-Wahda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Al-Gharafa - Al-Wahda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↑
(3.34) |
3.76 ↓
(3.77) |
1.88 ↓
(1.99) |
7.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Wahda?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Wahda will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Wahda will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al-Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Al-Wahda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Wahda is seen as the favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Wahda?
Al-Gharafa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Wahda won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Wahda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Al-Wahda were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Latest results of Al-Wahda
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 1 |
