Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 21
- Referee: Al Mazyed M. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (344/419) | 87% (342/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (344/419) | 87% (342/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (27/49) | 55% (16/29) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (62/98) | 77% (80/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Boulaya F. ⚽,
- 26', Yousif A. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Brahimi Y. ⚽, Sassi F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Fadlalla S. 🟨,
- 65', Salah O. ↓, Gannan S. ↑,
- 70', Madibo A. O. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
- 70', Fadlalla S. ↓, Sano S. ↑,
- 79', Mohammed K. ↓, Muneer K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Wakrah
24.8% | Draw
24.3% | Al-Gharafa
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Wakrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Gharafa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wakrah than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↑
(3.21) |
3.8 ↑
(3.4) |
1.81 ↓
(2.12) |
8.5%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Wakrah (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Gharafa will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Wakrah won 1.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Al-Gharafa will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Wakrah won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 30:36 (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al-Wakrah won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:20 (average 2.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Wakrah won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Wakrah has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Wakrah?
Al-Gharafa has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
22.11.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Wakrah
3:1
06.09.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Wakrah
0:3
24.04.2024
Al-Wakrah
-
Al-Gharafa
2:4
02.12.2023
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Wakrah
1:1
09.08.2023
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Wakrah
1:0
Latest results of Al-Wakrah
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Draw
RelegationFinal| 1 | Umm-Salal | Al Markhiya | 2 : 1 |
