Result
2:0
24/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (382/455) | 67% (169/251) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (382/455) | 67% (169/251) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (18/37) | 28% (17/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (93/119) | 54% (46/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (10/23) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 72 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Kauan Santos ⚽, Guilherme (A),
- 28', 2 - 0, Guilherme ⚽, Adil S. (A),
- 30', Djalo A. 🟨,
- 36', Mateus Henrique ↓, Gomes I. ↑,
- 36', Al Nuaimi E. 🟨,
- 45', Hamed J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Garcia D. ↓, Breno ↑,
- 57', Surag A. ↓, Muntari M. ↑,
- 79', Holgate M. ↓, Al-Ali R. A. ↑,
- 79', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
- 83', Adil S. ↓, Mateusao ↑,
- 83', Guilherme ↓, Al Mansouri M. ↑,
- 90', Cartabia F. ↓, Al Ghassani Y. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4w4yrbxk
Chances of winning
Shabab Al-Ahli
68.7% | Draw
18.4% | Al-Gharafa
12.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.38) |
5.1 ↑
(5.08) |
7.31 ↓
(7.35) |
6.4%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Gharafa?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Al-Gharafa will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shabab Al-Ahli: 68.4% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
- Shabab Al-Ahli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Gharafa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Gharafa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Shabab Al-Ahli will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shabab Al-Ahli won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Shabab Al-Ahli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Al-Gharafa?
Shabab Al-Ahli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Shabab Al-Ahli?
Al-Gharafa has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
13.08.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Shabab Al-Ahli
1:0
Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe ✔ | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Melbourne City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Seoul | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Buriram | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Ulsan HD | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Gangwon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 2 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Wahda ✔ | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Tractor | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Al Ahli SC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 10 |
| 5 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Al-Duhail | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Al Sharjah | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 8 | Al Ittihad | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Al-Gharafa | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
| 10 | Al-Sadd | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
