Result
0:2
17/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 China | iQIYI |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Qatar | Al Kass Six, Shoof |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (305/368) | 87% (472/543) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (305/368) | 87% (472/543) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (33/60) | 54% (25/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/94) | 67% (72/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Sedlar A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Normann M. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
- 46', Khalilzadeh S. 🟨,
- 60', Sano S. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 1, Hashemnejad M. ⚽,
- 67', Joselu 🟨,
- 68', Djalo A. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
- 68', Diaz F. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
- 69', Lushkja R. ↓, Kazemayni M. ↑,
- 69', Halilovic T. ↓, Hosseini M. ↑,
- 73', Al-Ali R. A. ↓, Fadlalla S. ↑,
- 74', Khamrobekov O. 🟨,
- 76', Gunnarsson A. 🟨,
- 81', 0 - 2, Hosseinzadeh A. ⚽, Kazemayni M. (A),
- 84', Coman F. ↓, Al Khlif Y. M. ↑,
- 86', Sedlar A. ↓, Faraji F. ↑,
- 90', Hashemnejad M. ↓, Strkalj T. ↑,
- 90', Drozdek D. ↓, Mohammadi M. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2y3wwkms
Chances of winning
Al-Gharafa
39.8% | Draw
27% | Tractor Sazi
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Tractor Sazi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tractor Sazi than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Al-Gharafa - Tractor Sazi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.31) |
3.48 ↑
(3.3) |
2.82 ↑
(2.69) |
6.8%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Tractor Sazi?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Al-Gharafa (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Al-Gharafa (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Al-Gharafa (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Gharafa will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Gharafa will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Tractor Sazi (votes: 1 - 8.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Tractor Sazi is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Al-Gharafa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Tractor Sazi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tractor Sazi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Tractor Sazi?
Al-Gharafa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tractor Sazi won against Al-Gharafa?
Tractor Sazi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Tractor Sazi were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Latest results of Tractor Sazi
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
