Result
0:1
04/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Leonel Ateba ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Gharraf
18.4% | Draw
27.7% | Al-Shorta Baghdad
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharraf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharraf's form might have worsened.Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shorta Baghdad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharraf than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Gharraf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Shorta Baghdad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Gharraf - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.92 ↑
(3.64) |
3.26 ↓
(3.31) |
1.67 ↓
(1.94) |
10.8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al-Gharraf - Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Al-Shorta (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Shorta Baghdad will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Shorta Baghdad will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shorta (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Al-Shorta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharraf won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Al-Gharraf has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Al-Gharraf?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharraf - Al-Shorta Baghdad were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Gharraf
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 27:10 | 17 | 46 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 35:13 | 22 | 44 |
| 3 | Al-Karma | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Erbil | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Al Talaba | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Zakho | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 36 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Al Zawraa | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Gharraf | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Diyala | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 28 |
| 11 | Duhok | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 27 |
| 12 | Newroz | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 24 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 | Baghdad | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 18 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13:37 | -24 | 8 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 20 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6:47 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
