Result
2:1
12/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah 2, Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (254/302) | 84% (299/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (254/302) | 84% (299/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 52% (23/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (110/140) | 65% (51/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (9/30) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.57 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 3.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Bah A. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Gul G. ⚽,
- 21', Al Rashid S. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 1, Al Dhuwayhi A. ⚽,
- 29', Al Dhuwayhi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Al Rashid S. ↓, Al Harbi A. ↑,
- 56', Fagihy M. 🟨,
- 58', Rosier L. 🟨,
- 60', Al Lazam K. ↓, Asiri N. ↑,
- 60', Neyou Y. ↓, Ashi I. ↑,
- 60', Abu Abd M. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
- 62', Pedroza J. 🟨,
- 74', Al Dakheel A. 🟨,
- 79', Bah A. ↓, Martins F. ↑,
- 80', Al Dhuwayhi A. ↓, Mokwana E. ↑,
- 80', Nguen T. ↓, Al Harthi S. M. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Al Somah O. ⚽, Al Habashi N. (A),
- 85', Bassogog C. 🟨,
- 88', Al Somah O. ↓, Al Shammari Y. ↑,
- 88', Al Habashi N. ↓, Al Yami M. ↑,
- 90+2', Ashi I. 🟥,
- 90+5', Al Shammari Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Hazem
45.9% | Draw
27% | Al Akhdoud
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Hazem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al Hazem that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.12) |
3.42 ↑
(3.34) |
3.45 ↑
(3.34) |
7.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Al Akhdoud (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Al Akhdoud (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Al Akhdoud (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al Hazem will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al Hazem will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Hazem (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Al Akhdoud (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- Al Hazem has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al Akhdoud has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Al Hazem could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Hazem won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Hazem won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Hazem won against Al Akhdoud?
Al Hazem has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al Hazem?
Al Akhdoud has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Hazem - Al Akhdoud were as follows:
18.10.2025
Al Akhdoud
-
Al Hazem
1:2
02.05.2024
Al Hazem
-
Al Akhdoud
0:0
11.11.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al Hazem
2:1
05.05.2023
Al Akhdoud
-
Al Hazem
0:1
25.10.2022
Al Hazem
-
Al Akhdoud
1:0
Latest results of Al Hazem
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr ✔ | 30 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 81:21 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 29 | 21 | 8 | 0 | 76:25 | 51 | 71 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 71:31 | 40 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 52:40 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 44:51 | -7 | 45 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Al Hazem | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Fayha | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 36:46 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Al Khaleej | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 49:48 | 1 | 34 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 37:43 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 39:58 | -19 | 30 |
| 15 | Damac | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 27:47 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24:64 | -40 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma ✔ | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 29:72 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Clinched Spots for Teams
Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Najma is Relegated to Division 1
