Al-Hilal vs Al-Sadd – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
21/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaMNC Soccer Channel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
surinameSurinameSCCN
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.020.71
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
213
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
84% (323/386)85% (365/429)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
3.020.71
xG on target (xGOT)
3.410.97
Total shots
213
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
71
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
84% (323/386)85% (365/429)
Long passes
50% (19/38)43% (19/44)
Passes in final third
75% (92/122)67% (73/109)
Crosses
21% (3/14)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.400.82
Throw-ins
229
Fouls
1210
Tackles
87% (13/15)56% (10/18)
Duels won
5141
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.973.41
Goals prevented
-0.030.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Akcicek Y. , Koulibaly K. (A),
  • 40', 2 - 0, Koulibaly K. , Neves R. (A),
  • 45+3', Salman T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Camara M. 🟨,
  • 61', Paulo Otavio 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Roberto Firmino , Pedro Miguel (A),
  • 74', Camara M. , Soria A. ,
  • 74', Giovani , Al Haydos H. ,
  • 78', Kanno M. , Al Dawsari N. ,
  • 78', Marcos Leonardo , Nunez D. ,
  • 78', Al Hamdan A. , Lajami A. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Milinkovic-Savic S. ,
  • 87', Nunez D. 🟨,
  • 87', Milinkovic-Savic S. , Al Malki A. ,
  • 87', Afif A. , Mujica R. ,
  • 87', Pedro Miguel , Al Yazidi A. ,
  • 90+2', Al Yazidi A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Kaio Cesar (Pen),
  • 90+6', Hernandez T. , Darisi A. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Hilal
71.3%
Draw
17.1%
Al-Sadd
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
79.6% 12.2% 8.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Hilal's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.18)
    5.51
    (7.69)
    8.2
    (11.55)
    5.9%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Al-Sadd will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Hilal: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2 - Al-Hilal (1.90) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 4 - 80%). Al-Sadd (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 2.
    • Al-Hilal has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Al-Sadd has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Al-Hilal has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Al-Sadd has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Al-Hilal is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Hilal won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Hilal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd were as follows:
    26.11.2024 Al-Sadd - Al-Hilal 1:1
    30.07.2023 Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd 2:3
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    29.09.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Al-Hilal 2:3
    25.09.2025 Al-Hilal - Al Akhdoud 3:1
    22.09.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Hilal 0:1
    19.09.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal 3:3
    Latest results of Al-Sadd
    19.10.2025 Al-Sadd - Umm-Salal 0:5
    03.10.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Markhiya 2:3
    30.09.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Sharjah 1:1
    25.09.2025 Al-Sadd - Al Duhail 0:0
    22.09.2025 Al Bidda - Al-Sadd 3:1
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Machida852115:7817
    2Vissel Kobe851214:7716
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima843110:6415
    4Buriram842210:8214
    5Melbourne City84229:7214
    6Johor DT83238:7111
    7Seoul824210:9110
    8Gangwon82339:11-29
    9Ulsan HD82336:8-29
    10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:11-46
    11Shanghai Shenhua81165:13-84
    12Shanghai Port80442:11-94


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal871017:61122
    2Al Ahli SC852121:91217
    3Tractor852112:4817
    4Al Ittihad850322:91315
    5Al Wahda842211:7414
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:14011
    7Al-Duhail822416:1608
    8Al-Sadd822412:16-48
    9Al Sharjah82248:16-88
    10Al-Gharafa82067:21-146
    11Al Shorta81256:20-145
    12Nasaf Qarshi81169:17-84

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