Result
3:4 penalties
13/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (460/536) | 82% (420/511) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 49 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (460/536) | 82% (420/511) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (37/54) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (121/158) | 70% (105/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 35% (8/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 2.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', 1 - 0, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Hernandez T. (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Claudinho ⚽, Saiss R. (A),
- 45+3', Afif A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', Camara M. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Neves R. (A),
- 58', 2 - 2, Mujica R. ⚽, Claudinho (A),
- 65', Mandash S. ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
- 65', Lajami A. ↓, Mari P. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 2, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Benzema K. (A),
- 70', 3 - 3, Roberto Firmino ⚽, Soria A. (A),
- 76', Pedro Miguel 🟨,
- 83', Kanno M. 🟨,
- 85', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
- 85', Kanno M. ↓, Bouabre S. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 91', Al Harbi M. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
- 101', Marcos Leonardo 🟨,
- 102', Inzaghi S. 🟨,
- 114', Hernandez T. ↓, Darisi A. ↑,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Roberto Firmino (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Neves R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Soria A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Marcos Leonardo (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Claudinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Benzema K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Mujica R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Bouabre S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Afif A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Al-Hilal
64.9% | Draw
18.6% | Al-Sadd
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+44.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-40.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Sadd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-45.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Hilal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (+42.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Sadd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(4.58) |
5.09 ↑
(4.18) |
5.73 ↑
(1.62) |
5.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd?
Users Predictions:
Al-Hilal will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to safety reasons. First leg.
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Al-Sadd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Hilal is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sadd won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Al-Sadd?
Al-Hilal has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Al-Hilal?
Al-Sadd has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd were as follows:
21.10.2025
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Sadd
3:1
26.11.2024
Al-Sadd
-
Al-Hilal
1:1
30.07.2023
Al-Hilal
-
Al-Sadd
2:3
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Latest results of Al-Sadd
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | 3 : 4 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al-Sadd (8) | Vissel Kobe (2) | 3 : 4 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Johor DT (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Machida (1) | Al Ittihad (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Buriram (4) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | 2 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Machida (1) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Machida (1) | 1 : 0 |
