Al-Hilal vs Al-Shorta Baghdad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League
Result
4:0
25/11/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaParamount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
qatarQatarAl Kass Five
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
ukraineUkraineSport 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.640.15
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
289
Shots on target
101
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
90% (504/558)82% (258/316)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.640.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.430.03
Total shots
289
Shots on target
101
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
181
Shots outside the Box
107
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
30
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
382
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
90% (504/558)82% (258/316)
Long passes
71% (24/34)37% (19/52)
Passes in final third
82% (168/205)77% (63/82)
Crosses
39% (7/18)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.490.18
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
1411
Tackles
70% (16/23)74% (14/19)
Duels won
5342
Clearances
724
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.032.43
Goals prevented
0.03-1.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Malcom (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 51', Kaio Cesar 🟨,
  • 55', Yahia Alwan A. 🟨,
  • 61', Yahia Alwan A. 🟨,
  • 64', 2 - 0, Milinkovic-Savic S. ⚽, Cancelo J. (A),
  • 70', Sadoun M. ↓, Raed H. ↑,
  • 70', Farhan A. ↓, Jabbar H. ↑,
  • 70', Kaio Cesar ↓, Al Dawsari S. ↑,
  • 71', Milinkovic-Savic S. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
  • 71', Malcom ↓, Al Dawsari N. ↑,
  • 72', 3 - 0, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Al Dawsari N. (A),
  • 79', Hernandez T. ↓, Al Qahtani M. ↑,
  • 79', Koulibaly K. ↓, Darisi A. ↑,
  • 87', Younis M. ↓, Mohammed Dawood ↑,
  • 90+3', 4 - 0, Cancelo J. ⚽, Kanno M. (A),

Chances of winning


Al-Hilal
83.1%		Draw
10.8%		Al-Shorta Baghdad
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
83% 10.8% 6.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
    •

    Al-Hilal - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.13 ↓
    (1.15)    		 8.69 ↓
    (8.8)    		 15.56 ↑
    (15.5)    		 6.3%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Shorta Baghdad?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Al-Hilal will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 - Al-Shorta (1.89) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Hilal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Al-Shorta (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Al-Hilal has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Al-Shorta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Shorta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Al-Hilal is the undeniable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    22.11.2025 Al-Hilal - Al Fateh 2:1 ✺
    07.11.2025 Al-Najma - Al-Hilal 2:4 ✺
    03.11.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Hilal 1:2 ✺
    31.10.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:0 ✺
    28.10.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Hilal 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
    20.11.2025 Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karkh 3:0
    03.11.2025 Tractor Sazi - Al-Shorta Baghdad 1:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Karma 1:0
    24.10.2025 Arbil - Al-Shorta Baghdad 1:0
    20.10.2025 Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al-Ittihad Jeddah 1:4 ✺
    AFC Champions League Table
    League phase

    East
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Machida852115:7817
    2Vissel Kobe851214:7716
    3Sanfrecce Hiroshima843110:6415
    4Buriram842210:8214
    5Melbourne City84229:7214
    6Johor DT83238:7111
    7Seoul824210:9110
    8Gangwon82339:11-29
    9Ulsan HD82336:8-29
    10Chengdu Rongcheng81347:11-46
    11Shanghai Shenhua81165:13-84
    12Shanghai Port80442:11-94


    West
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hilal871017:61122
    2Al Ahli SC852121:91217
    3Tractor852112:4817
    4Al Ittihad850322:91315
    5Al Wahda842211:7414
    6Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai832314:14011
    7Al-Duhail822416:1608
    8Al-Sadd822412:16-48
    9Al Sharjah82248:16-88
    10Al-Gharafa82067:21-146
    11Al Shorta81256:20-145
    12Nasaf Qarshi81169:17-84

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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