Result
2:0
26/06/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Afghanistan | Ariana |
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP |
 Albania | DAZN, SuperSport 3 |
 Angola | Z Sports 1, Z Sports 2 |
 Argentina | DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Mi Telefe |
 Asia | MBC Action |
 Australia | DAZN, Fox Sports 505, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belarus | DAZN, Okko Sport |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bolivia | AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | DAZN |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | DAZN |
 Costa-rica | TD +, TDMAX |
 Croatia | DAZN |
 Cyprus | DAZN |
 Czech-republic | DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2 |
 Egypt | MBC Masr 2 |
 El-salvador | Canal 4, TCS GO |
 Finland | DAZN, Veikkaus TV |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | DAZN |
 Honduras | Deportes TV, Mega |
 Hong-kong | DAZN |
 Hungary | DAZN, Duna World / M4 Sport + |
 India | DAZN, FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | DAZN |
 Ireland | DAZN Ireland |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | DAZN 1, DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | DAZN, Qazsport |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Latvia | DAZN |
 Lithuania | DAZN |
 Malaysia | DAZN |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Malta | TVM+ |
 Mexico | DAZN App, DAZN |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nicaragua | Canal 13 |
 Nigeria | DAZN, SuperSport LaLiga |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | DAZN |
 Norway | DAZN, VG+ |
 Panama | Nex |
 Paraguay | DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports+ |
 Peru | DAZN App, DirecTV Sports |
 Philippines | DAZN |
 Poland | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN Portugal |
 Romania | DAZN, Voyo |
 Russia | DAZN |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | DAZN |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | DAZN |
 South-africa | DAZN, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 South-korea | Coupang Play, DAZN |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | DAZN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 Thailand | DAZN |
 Turkey | DAZN Turkiye, Tabii Spor 1, Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | DAZN |
 United-arab-emirates | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Uruguay | DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2 |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Uzbekistan | DAZN |
 Venezuela | DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Inter, Televen |
 Vietnam | DAZN, FPT Play |
 World | Sport 24 Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (374/449) | 85% (407/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (374/449) | 85% (407/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (35/55) | 51% (23/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (75/108) | 72% (79/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Al Dawsari N. (A),
- 45+2', Dominguez A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Lodi R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
- 56', Dominguez A. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 56', Barreto S. D. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
- 63', Kenedy ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
- 71', Lodi R. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
- 76', Tambakti H. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
- 76', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
- 77', Palavecino A. ↓, Pedraza P. ↑,
- 77', Sanchez C. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 86', Cancelo J. ↓, Al Yami H. ↑,
- 86', Malcom ↓, Al Juwayr M. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Neves R. (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Hilal
62.5% | Draw
21.2% | Pachuca
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pachuca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Hilal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pachuca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Hilal - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.81) |
4.54 ↑
(3.83) |
5.86 ↑
(4.31) |
3.8%
(4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Pachuca?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Al-Hilal (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH -1 - Al-Hilal (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Hilal will win
(62 of 70 users predict this - 88.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.12% – 96.02%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Hilal will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Al-Hilal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pachuca is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Al-Hilal has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al-Hilal is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Al-Hilal: Mitrovic A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Hilal won against Pachuca?
Al-Hilal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Al-Hilal?
Pachuca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Pachuca were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Hilal
Latest results of Pachuca
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Inter (E1) | Fluminense (F2) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Manchester City (G1) | Al Hilal (H2) | 3 : 4 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (A1) | Botafogo RJ (B2) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Benfica (C1) | Chelsea (D2) | 1 : 4 |
| 5 | PSG (B1) | Inter Miami (A2) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ (D1) | Bayern Munich (C2) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Real Madrid (H1) | Juventus (G2) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund (F1) | Monterrey (E2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense (F2) | Al Hilal (H2) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (A1) | Chelsea (D2) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | PSG (B1) | Bayern Munich (C2) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Real Madrid (H1) | Dortmund (F1) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense (F2) | Chelsea (D2) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | PSG (B1) | Real Madrid (H1) | 4 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Chelsea (D2) | PSG (B1) | 3 : 0 |
