El Gouna vs Al-Ittihad Alexandria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Result
2:0
11/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EGYPT: Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.25
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
148
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
61
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
113
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
51
Free Kicks
128
Offsides
01
Fouls
812
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
2621
Touches in the Opposition Box
2513
Passes
69% (223/322)77% (297/385)
Passes in the final third
54% (65/120)56% (64/114)
Crosses
24% (7/29)35% (6/17)
Tackles
77% (10/13)67% (6/9)
Clearances Total
2234
Interceptions
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Salifu M. 🟨,
  • 32', El Aash A. 🟨,
  • 34', El Deeb K. 🟨,
  • 45+2', El Sayed N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Samir I. , Osama Nabih Y. ,
  • 58', Reda A. , Imad M. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, El Zahdi A. ,
  • 72', Farid F. , Apeh E. ,
  • 72', El Wahsh O. , Naguib S. ,
  • 72', El Shimi A. , Bakri A. ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Imad M. , El Nahass M. (A),
  • 81', Fekri S. , Mohamed A. ,
  • 83', El Nahass M. , Abdel Rasoul Ahmed ,
  • 90', El Zahdi A. , Mahmoud M. ,
  • 90', Akem F. , Randrianantenaina A. ,
  • 90', El Sayed N. , Reda Salah ,
  • 90+5', Bakri A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


El Gouna
29.6%
Draw
37.9%
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 33.6% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 31.9% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Al-Ittihad Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (3)
    2.45
    (2.77)
    2.86
    (2.62)
    7.8%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 2.
    • El Gouna is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Al-Ittihad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Al-Ittihad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:13 (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams El Gouna won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria were as follows:
    17.02.2025 Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Gouna 1:0
    27.04.2024 El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria 2:1
    06.10.2023 Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Gouna 2:2
    Latest results of El Gouna
    03.03.2025 Pharco - El Gouna 0:0
    26.02.2025 Modern Sport - El Gouna 2:3
    12.02.2025 El Gouna - Ismaily 2:0
    Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ceramica Cleopatra1172213:4923
    2Al Ahly1063119:12721
    3Al Masry1154218:11719
    4Zamalek1053214:7718
    5Enppi1146110:6418
    6Pyramids852113:4917
    7Wadi Degla1144312:9316
    8ZED1244411:10116
    9Smouha103618:5315
    10Ghazl El Mahallah122917:4315
    11Modern Sport1143414:15-115
    12National Bank Egypt1035210:5514
    13Petrojet103529:10-114
    14El Gouna102627:9-212
    15Haras El Hodood113358:13-512
    16El Gaish122465:15-1010
    17Arab Contractors121656:11-59
    18Pharco111644:10-69
    19Al Ittihad102266:13-78
    20Kahrabaa Ismailia112279:20-118
    21El Ismaily122195:15-107

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )