Result
2:0
11/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EGYPT: Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 1
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (223/322) | 77% (297/385) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 54% (65/120) | 56% (64/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 35% (6/17) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 67% (6/9) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Salifu M. 🟨,
- 32', El Aash A. 🟨,
- 34', El Deeb K. 🟨,
- 45+2', El Sayed N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Samir I. ↓, Osama Nabih Y. ↑,
- 58', Reda A. ↓, Imad M. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, El Zahdi A. ⚽,
- 72', Farid F. ↓, Apeh E. ↑,
- 72', El Wahsh O. ↓, Naguib S. ↑,
- 72', El Shimi A. ↓, Bakri A. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Imad M. ⚽, El Nahass M. (A),
- 81', Fekri S. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
- 83', El Nahass M. ↓, Abdel Rasoul Ahmed ↑,
- 90', El Zahdi A. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,
- 90', Akem F. ↓, Randrianantenaina A. ↑,
- 90', El Sayed N. ↓, Reda Salah ↑,
- 90+5', Bakri A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Gouna
29.6% | Draw
37.9% | Al-Ittihad Alexandria
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Al-Ittihad Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(3) |
2.45 ↓
(2.77) |
2.86 ↑
(2.62) |
7.8%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 2.
- El Gouna is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Al-Ittihad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Al-Ittihad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:13 (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams El Gouna won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
El Gouna has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against El Gouna?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria were as follows:
17.02.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
El Gouna
1:0
27.04.2024
El Gouna
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
2:1
06.10.2023
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
El Gouna
2:2
Latest results of El Gouna
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Masry | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Enppi | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Wadi Degla | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Smouha | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Petrojet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | El Gouna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | ZED | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Modern Sport | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | National Bank Egypt | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
| 15 | Haras El Hodood | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | El Gaish | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Pharco | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Arab Contractors | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2:13 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
