Result
2:0
11/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EGYPT: Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 1
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.52 | 0.25 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
14 | 8 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
11 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 8 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 12 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 21 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
25 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
69% (223/322) | 77% (297/385) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
54% (65/120) | 56% (64/114) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (7/29) | 35% (6/17) |
Tackles |
---|
77% (10/13) | 67% (6/9) |
Clearances Total |
---|
22 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Salifu M. 🟨,
- 32', El Aash A. 🟨,
- 34', El Deeb K. 🟨,
- 45+2', El Sayed N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Samir I. ↓, Osama Nabih Y. ↑,
- 58', Reda A. ↓, Imad M. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, El Zahdi A. ⚽,
- 72', Farid F. ↓, Apeh E. ↑,
- 72', El Wahsh O. ↓, Naguib S. ↑,
- 72', El Shimi A. ↓, Bakri A. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Imad M. ⚽, El Nahass M. (A),
- 81', Fekri S. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
- 83', El Nahass M. ↓, Abdel Rasoul Ahmed ↑,
- 90', El Zahdi A. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,
- 90', Akem F. ↓, Randrianantenaina A. ↑,
- 90', El Sayed N. ↓, Reda Salah ↑,
- 90+5', Bakri A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Gouna 29.6% | Draw 37.9% | Al-Ittihad Alexandria 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Al-Ittihad Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.13 ↑ (3) |
2.45 ↓ (2.77) |
2.86 ↑ (2.62) |
7.8% (7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 2.
- El Gouna is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Al-Ittihad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Al-Ittihad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:13 (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams El Gouna won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
El Gouna has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against El Gouna?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria were as follows:
17.02.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
El Gouna
1:0
27.04.2024
El Gouna
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
2:1
06.10.2023
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
El Gouna
2:2
Latest results of El Gouna
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Masry | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
2 | Zamalek | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
3 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 5 |
4 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Pyramids | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
6 | Al Ahly | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
7 | Haras El Hodood | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
8 | El Gouna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
9 | Modern Sport | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Enppi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Smouha | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 3 |
15 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
16 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
17 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
18 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
19 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
20 | Wadi Degla | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
21 | Pharco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )