Result
0:0
04/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (204/304) | 80% (393/494) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (204/304) | 80% (393/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/60) | 46% (38/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (67/111) | 61% (71/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', El Zahdi A. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
- 65', Ebuka J. ↓, Farid F. ↑,
- 65', Mohamed A. ↓, Alaa N. ↑,
- 80', El Gazar O. ↓, Refaat A. ↑,
- 81', Gamal A. ↓, Salah R. ↑,
- 84', Wahid Y. ↓, Tony M. ↑,
- 86', Ibrahim H. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,
- 87', El Nahas M. ↓, Ojo T. ↑,
Chances of winning
El Gouna
33.6% | Draw
36.2% | Al-Ittihad Alexandria
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Gouna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Al-Ittihad Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.77 ↓
(2.86) |
2.58 ↓
(2.59) |
3.09 ↑
(2.89) |
7.2%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 76.1% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, El Gouna won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Gouna won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has El Gouna won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
El Gouna has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against El Gouna?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria were as follows:
23.11.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
El Gouna
0:2
11.03.2025
El Gouna
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
2:0
17.02.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
El Gouna
1:0
27.04.2024
El Gouna
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
2:1
06.10.2023
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
El Gouna
2:2
Latest results of El Gouna
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 24 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 23 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 19 |
| 20 | Pharco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 13 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
