El Gouna vs Al-Ittihad Alexandria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Egyptian Premier League El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Result
2:0
11/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EGYPT: Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.520.25
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
148
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
52
Blocked Shots
61
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
113
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
51
Free Kicks
128
Offsides
01
Fouls
812
Yellow Cards
23
Throw-ins
2621
Touches in the Opposition Box
2513
Passes
69% (223/322)77% (297/385)
Passes in the final third
54% (65/120)56% (64/114)
Crosses
24% (7/29)35% (6/17)
Tackles
77% (10/13)67% (6/9)
Clearances Total
2234
Interceptions
69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Salifu M. 🟨,
  • 32', El Aash A. 🟨,
  • 34', El Deeb K. 🟨,
  • 45+2', El Sayed N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 54', Samir I. , Osama Nabih Y. ,
  • 58', Reda A. , Imad M. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, El Zahdi A. ,
  • 72', Farid F. , Apeh E. ,
  • 72', El Wahsh O. , Naguib S. ,
  • 72', El Shimi A. , Bakri A. ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Imad M. , El Nahass M. (A),
  • 81', Fekri S. , Mohamed A. ,
  • 83', El Nahass M. , Abdel Rasoul Ahmed ,
  • 90', El Zahdi A. , Mahmoud M. ,
  • 90', Akem F. , Randrianantenaina A. ,
  • 90', El Sayed N. , Reda Salah ,
  • 90+5', Bakri A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


El Gouna
29.6%
Draw
37.9%
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 33.6% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 31.9% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Gouna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Al-Ittihad Alexandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Gouna than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (3)
    2.45
    (2.77)
    2.86
    (2.62)
    7.8%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. El Gouna will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 2.
    • El Gouna is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Al-Ittihad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Al-Ittihad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches El Gouna won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12:13 (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams El Gouna won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria were as follows:
    17.02.2025 Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Gouna 1:0
    27.04.2024 El Gouna - Al-Ittihad Alexandria 2:1
    06.10.2023 Al-Ittihad Alexandria - El Gouna 2:2
    Latest results of El Gouna
    03.03.2025 Pharco - El Gouna 0:0
    26.02.2025 Modern Sport - El Gouna 2:3
    12.02.2025 El Gouna - Ismaily 2:0
    Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
    Egyptian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Masry32108:357
    2Zamalek32104:137
    3ZED31203:125
    4Petrojet31203:215
    5Pyramids31203:215
    6Al Ahly21106:334
    7Haras El Hodood21101:014
    8El Gouna21101:014
    9Modern Sport31115:504
    10Ceramica Cleopatra31112:204
    11Enppi31111:2-14
    12El Gaish31112:4-24
    13Smouha30302:203
    14Ghazl El Mahallah30300:003
    15Al Ittihad31023:5-23
    16Kahrabaa Ismailia30213:4-12
    17National Bank Egypt30211:2-12
    18Arab Contractors30210:2-22
    19El Ismaily30120:2-21
    20Wadi Degla30120:2-21
    21Pharco30121:5-41

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
          Premier League (Relegation Group: )