Result
1:1
09/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (200/275) | 85% (423/496) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (200/275) | 85% (423/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (26/58) | 69% (42/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (44/78) | 74% (111/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Said M. ↓, Sulieman A. ↑,
- 45+6', Ebuka J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', El Said O. ↓, Shika M. E. S. ↑,
- 46', Awad I. ↓, El Shazly H. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Ebuka J. ⚽, Magdi A. (A),
- 58', 1 - 1, Sulieman A. ⚽, Ngwem J. (A),
- 61', Al Agouz S. ↓, Hamza A. ↑,
- 66', Body ↓, Wahid Y. ↑,
- 68', Sulieman A. 🟨,
- 76', Ebuka J. ↓, Mabululu ↑,
- 76', Tony M. ↓, Emad M. ↑,
- 77', El Deeb K. ↓, Mohamed A. ↑,
- 77', Ngwem J. ↓, Farouk M. ↑,
- 84', Genesh M. 🟨,
- 88', Alaa M. ↓, Farid F. ↑,
- 88', El Sayed R. 🟨,
- 89', Hamza A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kahrabaa Ismailia 26.7% | Draw 33.8% | Al-Ittihad Alexandria 39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kahrabaa Ismailia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kahrabaa Ismailia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kahrabaa Ismailia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Kahrabaa Ismailia - Al-Ittihad Alexandria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.49 ↑ (3.03) |
2.76 ↓ (2.79) |
2.35 ↓ (2.54) |
7.4% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kahrabaa Ismailia - Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 82.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.3% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Kahrabaa Ismailia has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kahrabaa Ismailia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Kahrabaa Ismailia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kahrabaa Ismailia won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
Kahrabaa Ismailia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against Kahrabaa Ismailia?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kahrabaa Ismailia - Al-Ittihad Alexandria were as follows:
24.12.2025
Kahrabaa Ismailia
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
1:1
29.11.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Kahrabaa Ismailia
0:1
18.09.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
Kahrabaa Ismailia
0:1
Latest results of Kahrabaa Ismailia
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | ZED | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | National Bank Egypt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Petrojet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 30 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | El Gaish | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Modern Sport | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 26 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 24 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 23 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 19 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 19 |
| 20 | Pharco | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 17 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 13 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A