Result
2:1
14/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (374/457) | 67% (219/328) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (374/457) | 67% (219/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (31/57) | 39% (29/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (75/113) | 55% (66/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 0% (0/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Saad M. ⚽, Messi (A),
- 44', 1 - 1, Ebuka J. ⚽, Magdi A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hussein S. ↓, Abdelrahman El Sakran ↑,
- 65', Magassa M. ↓, Khalil R. ↑,
- 65', Messi ↓, Saber M. ↑,
- 67', Wahid Y. ↓, Samir I. ↑,
- 76', Magdi A. ↓, Eid A. ↑,
- 76', Body ↓, Tony M. ↑,
- 84', Ebuka J. ↓, Mabululu ↑,
- 84', Emad M. ↓, Canaria ↑,
- 85', Saad M. ↓, Alaa H. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Afsha ⚽, Tony M. (A),
- 90+3', Afsha 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
32.3% | Draw
36.3% | ZED
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ZED has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Alexandria than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for ZED than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Al-Ittihad Alexandria - ZED Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(3.15) |
2.54 ↓
(2.62) |
2.94 ↑
(2.61) |
8.3%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad Alexandria - ZED?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. ZED will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Alexandria won against ZED?
Al-Ittihad Alexandria has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ZED won against Al-Ittihad Alexandria?
ZED has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ittihad Alexandria - ZED were as follows:
06.01.2026
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
ZED
1:1
22.09.2025
ZED
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
1:0
06.05.2025
ZED
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
11.01.2025
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
-
ZED
0:1
20.05.2024
ZED
-
Al-Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Alexandria
Egyptian Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 8 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 39 |
| 10 | ZED | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 39 |
| 11 | El Gouna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 31 |
| 14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 30 |
| 15 | El Gaish | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 28 |
| 17 | Al Ittihad | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 28 |
| 18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 23 |
| 19 | Haras El Hodood | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 21 |
| 20 | Pharco | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 20 |
| 21 | El Ismaily | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 17 |
Relegation ~ Division 2 A
