Al-Jabalain vs Al-Ula – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
25/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.08
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
87% (452/522)73% (202/278)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.56
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1718
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
87% (452/522)73% (202/278)
Long passes
43% (20/47)41% (29/71)
Passes in final third
66% (79/120)55% (58/106)
Crosses
17% (2/12)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.00
Throw-ins
1513
Fouls
1212
Tackles
50% (7/14)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4746
Clearances
1122
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.560.57
Goals prevented
-0.44-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. , Al Sulaiheem A. (A),
  • 8', Toure C. 🟨,
  • 15', Al Dohaim A. 🟥,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Cinari E. , Novais J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 1, Pessoa P. , Novais J. (A),
  • 63', Al Mutairi N. , Al Harbi A. ,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Danilo Barbosa , Al Sulaiheem A. (A),
  • 75', Al Khulaif A. , Al Zain A. ,
  • 79', Traore A. , Al Zubaidi A. ,
  • 80', Madani I. 🟨,
  • 86', Cinari E. , Al Terais F. ,
  • 89', Al Majhad M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Jabalain
26.7%
Draw
28.7%
Al-Ula
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 29.4% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 29.8% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Jabalain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ula's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Jabalain than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.89)
    3.16
    (3.11)
    2.04
    (2.35)
    10.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Al-Ula will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ula: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Al-Ula (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
    • Al-Jabalain is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In recent matches, Al-Ula has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Ula could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Al-Jabalain
    19.12.2025 Al Jubail - Al-Jabalain 0:0
    13.12.2025 Al-Jabalain - Al-Diriyah 3:0
    29.11.2025 Al-Taee - Al-Jabalain 0:0
    23.11.2025 Al-Jabalain - Al Raed 2:1
    08.11.2025 Al-Zulfi - Al-Jabalain 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Ula
    21.12.2025 Al-Ula - Al Jandal 5:1
    12.12.2025 Abha - Al-Ula 2:0
    27.11.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Ula 1:1
    22.11.2025 Al-Ula - Jeddah 1:1
    08.11.2025 Al-Orobah - Al-Ula 0:1
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha25195153:203362
    2Al Diriyah26175462:273556
    3Al-Ula26157455:253052
    4Al Jabalain26147549:301949
    5Al Orubah26145741:33847
    6Al-Faisaly261210453:322146
    7Al Raed26118748:351341
    8Al Bukiryah261141129:36-737
    9Al Zulfi2698932:32035
    10Al Taee26881038:39-132
    11Al Wehda26951239:44-532
    12Al Anwar26710935:38-331
    13Jeddah26710928:36-831
    14Al Jandal26681222:45-2326
    15Al Adalah26381532:58-2617
    16Al Arabi26441812:44-3216
    17Al Batin26351827:53-2614
    18Al Jubail25351722:50-2814

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation