Result
2:2
25/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (452/522) | 73% (202/278) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (452/522) | 73% (202/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 41% (29/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (79/120) | 55% (58/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽, Al Sulaiheem A. (A),
- 8', Toure C. 🟨,
- 15', Al Dohaim A. 🟥,
- 38', 1 - 1, Cinari E. ⚽, Novais J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 1, Pessoa P. ⚽, Novais J. (A),
- 63', Al Mutairi N. ↓, Al Harbi A. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 2, Danilo Barbosa ⚽, Al Sulaiheem A. (A),
- 75', Al Khulaif A. ↓, Al Zain A. ↑,
- 79', Traore A. ↓, Al Zubaidi A. ↑,
- 80', Madani I. 🟨,
- 86', Cinari E. ↓, Al Terais F. ↑,
- 89', Al Majhad M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Jabalain
26.7% | Draw
28.7% | Al-Ula
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Jabalain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ula's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Jabalain than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ula, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↑
(2.89) |
3.16 ↑
(3.11) |
2.04 ↓
(2.35) |
10.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Al-Ula will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ula: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Al-Ula (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
- Al-Jabalain is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- In recent matches, Al-Ula has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Ula could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Jabalain won against Al-Ula?
Al-Jabalain has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ula won against Al-Jabalain?
Al-Ula has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Jabalain - Al-Ula were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Jabalain
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 59:22 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 68:28 | 40 | 62 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 60:28 | 32 | 55 |
| 4 | Al-Faisaly | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 56:33 | 23 | 52 |
| 5 | Al Orubah | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:35 | 9 | 50 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 49:34 | 15 | 49 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 45 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Al Bukiryah | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Al Anwar | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 42:41 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Jeddah | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 34 |
| 13 | Al Wehda | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 42:51 | -9 | 33 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 34:63 | -29 | 18 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 14:51 | -37 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 29:57 | -28 | 15 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 24:57 | -33 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
