Result
25/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Al-Ahly Tripoli
61% | Draw
22.7% | Al-Madina
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahly Tripoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ahly Tripoli's performance.Al-Madina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Madina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahly Tripoli than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ahly Tripoli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Madina than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Madina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Ahly Tripoli - Al-Madina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.69) |
4 ↑
(3.7) |
5.6 ↑
(4.2) |
10%
(10%) | |
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- Al-Ahly Tripoli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Al-Madina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Al-Ahly Tripoli has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Al-Madina has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al-Ahly Tripoli is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ahly Tripoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahly Tripoli won against Al-Madina?
Al-Ahly Tripoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Madina won against Al-Ahly Tripoli?
Al-Madina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahly Tripoli - Al-Madina were as follows:
25.12.2025
Al-Madina
-
Al-Ahly Tripoli
1:1
Latest results of Al-Ahly Tripoli
Latest results of Al-Madina
Libyan Premier League Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 36:5 | 31 | 41 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 30:7 | 23 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 21 |
| 4 | Assabah | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 19 |
| 5 | Al Watan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 17 |
| 6 | Al-Khmes | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17:27 | -10 | 17 |
| 7 | Al Qadisiyah | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 8:19 | -11 | 17 |
| 8 | Al Malaab El Libby | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13:19 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Abu Salim | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Dahra | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Ittihad | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 26:7 | 19 | 32 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:9 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Al-Majd | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Shabab Al-Ghar | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 17 |
| 6 | Al-Tirsana | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Shomooa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 30 |
| 2 | Military Union | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | Al Taawun | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 27 |
| 4 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 26 |
| 5 | Al Sadaqa | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Darnes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 7 | Al Borouq | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6:17 | -11 | 10 |
| 8 | Al-Anwar | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 7 |
| 9 | Al-Suqoor | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9:30 | -21 | 5 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nasr | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25:4 | 21 | 31 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Khaleej Sirte | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 24:19 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Al-Afreeki | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 6 | Al Tahaddi | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Murooj | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | Al-Andalus | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1:31 | -30 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
