Result
1:1
11/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Egypt | Kora Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/325) | 81% (306/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (246/325) | 81% (306/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (36/75) | 36% (16/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (52/89) | 68% (54/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
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| 50% (7/14) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Kaandorp M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 39', Diasty M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, El Saaiy O. ⚽, Bambo K. (A),
- 61', El Saaiy O. 🟨,
- 65', El Saaiy O. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 1, Miskic D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', Dahroug A. ↓, Reda A. ↑,
- 69', Diasty M. ↓, Zizo ↑,
- 72', Abdelaati M. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
- 75', Ashraf A. ↓, Makhlouf M. ↑,
- 75', Bambo K. ↓, Mohsen S. ↑,
- 75', El Shami M. ↓, Temine M. ↑,
- 76', Zemraoui O. ↓, Deghmoum A. ↑,
- 81', Teka S. 🟨,
- 82', Kaandorp M. ↓, Scholes A. ↑,
- 82', Miskic D. ↓, Adel I. ↑,
- 83', Adel I. 🟨,
- 89', Deghmoum A. 🟨,
- 90+9', Makhlouf M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Masry
41.7% | Draw
30.8% | Wadi Degla
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Masry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Wadi Degla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Masry than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Masry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Al Masry - Wadi Degla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.99) |
3.03 ↓
(3.16) |
3.38 ↓
(3.88) |
7.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Al Masry - Wadi Degla?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Al Masry will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Wadi Degla will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Masry: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Al Masry (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al Masry (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Wadi Degla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al Masry is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Al Masry won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Masry won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 0.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Masry won against Wadi Degla?
Al Masry has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wadi Degla won against Al Masry?
Wadi Degla has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Masry - Wadi Degla were as follows:
04.02.2025
Al Masry
-
Wadi Degla
1:0
Latest results of Al Masry
Latest results of Wadi Degla
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
