Result
0:1
22/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
Kigali 26.8% | Draw 30.9% | Al-Merreikh 42.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Al-Merreikh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Kigali - Al-Merreikh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.39 ↑ (3.08) |
2.94 ↑ (2.91) |
2.15 ↓ (2.29) |
10.2% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 3).
- Kigali is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Al-Merreikh has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Merreikh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Merreikh has had a series of away games.
- Al-Merreikh might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kigali won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Kigali won against Al-Merreikh?
Kigali has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Merreikh won against Kigali?
Al-Merreikh has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kigali - Al-Merreikh were as follows:
07.12.2025
Al-Merreikh
-
Kigali
2:1
Latest results of Al-Merreikh
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 45:16 | 29 | 42 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gicumbi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation