Kigali vs Al-Merreikh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)

Chances of winning


Kigali
26.8%
Draw
30.9%
Al-Merreikh
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 31.1% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 32.1% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Al-Merreikh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Kigali - Al-Merreikh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (3.08)
    2.94
    (2.91)
    2.15
    (2.29)
    10.2%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 3).
    • Kigali is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Al-Merreikh has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Al-Merreikh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Al-Merreikh has had a series of away games.
    • Al-Merreikh might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kigali won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kigali - Al-Merreikh were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Al-Merreikh - Kigali 2:1
    Latest results of Kigali
    15.02.2026 Amagaju - Kigali 0:2
    08.02.2026 Police - Kigali 0:1
    05.02.2026 Kigali - Rayon Sports 0:1
    09.01.2026 Kigali - Rutsiro 0:0
    03.01.2026 Etincelles - Kigali 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Merreikh
    13.02.2026 Musanze - Al-Merreikh 1:1
    08.02.2026 Marines - Al-Merreikh 1:1
    21.01.2026 Al-Merreikh - Rayon Sports 2:2
    18.01.2026 APR - Al-Merreikh 0:0
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman20133445:162942
    2APR22119230:171342
    3Al-Merreikh21118224:141041
    4Police22910320:11937
    5Rayon Sport22107527:24337
    6Mukura Victory Sports2297624:21334
    7Kiyovu2189421:12933
    8Musanze2296731:23833
    9Marines2184925:24128
    10Bugesera2167820:22-225
    11Gicumbi2267926:33-725
    12Gasogi United2267917:26-925
    13AS Kigali2258915:21-623
    14Gorilla22571015:25-1022
    15Etincelles22310916:25-919
    16Rutsiro21461124:33-918
    17Amagaju2246129:27-1818
    18Muhanga21451213:28-1517

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