Al-Merreikh vs Rayon Sports – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
rwandaRwandaMagic Sports TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)

Chances of winning


Al-Merreikh
37.7%
Draw
33%
Rayon Sports
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 28.7% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 27.9% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Merreikh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Merreikh's form might have worsened.
  • Rayon Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayon Sports's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Merreikh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayon Sports than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayon Sports, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Merreikh - Rayon Sports Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (1.79)
    2.72
    (3.2)
    3.08
    (4.56)
    11.1%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Al-Merreikh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Merreikh is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Al-Merreikh
    18.01.2026 APR - Al-Merreikh 0:0
    08.01.2026 Al-Merreikh - Police 1:1
    29.12.2025 Muhanga - Al-Merreikh 0:0
    Latest results of Rayon Sports
    Rwanda Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Hilal Omdurman20133445:162942
    2APR22119230:171342
    3Al-Merreikh21118224:141041
    4Police22910320:11937
    5Rayon Sport22107527:24337
    6Mukura Victory Sports2297624:21334
    7Kiyovu2189421:12933
    8Musanze2296731:23833
    9Marines2184925:24128
    10Bugesera2167820:22-225
    11Gicumbi2267926:33-725
    12Gasogi United2267917:26-925
    13AS Kigali2258915:21-623
    14Gorilla22571015:25-1022
    15Etincelles22310916:25-919
    16Rutsiro21461124:33-918
    17Amagaju2246129:27-1818
    18Muhanga21451213:28-1517

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation