Result
1:3
18/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 1', 0 - 1, Olwan A. ⚽,
- 7', 1 - 1, Al Dali A. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 2, Maknzi A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+3', 1 - 3, Fayaq H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Al Mosul 24.7% | Draw 31.9% | Al-Karma 43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Mosul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Al Mosul - Al-Karma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.65 ↑ (3.12) |
2.82 ↓ (2.94) |
2.07 ↓ (2.31) |
11.1% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 4).
- Recent form of Al Mosul has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al-Karma is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Karma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Mosul won against Al-Karma?
Al Mosul has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Karma won against Al Mosul?
Al-Karma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Mosul - Al-Karma were as follows:
Latest results of Al Mosul
Latest results of Al-Karma
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 27:10 | 17 | 46 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 35:13 | 22 | 44 |
| 3 | Al-Karma | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Erbil | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Al Talaba | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 26:16 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Zakho | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:15 | 13 | 36 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 8 | Al Zawraa | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 32 |
| 9 | Al Gharraf | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Diyala | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 28 |
| 11 | Duhok | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 27 |
| 12 | Newroz | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 24 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19:23 | -4 | 21 |
| 16 | Baghdad | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19:31 | -12 | 19 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 18 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 16 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 20 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13:37 | -24 | 8 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 20 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6:47 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation