Result
1:1
26/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Faisal A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 26', Ghazi I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 82', 0 - 1, Mohsen S. ⚽,
- 88', 1 - 1, Al Yahmadi J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Karma
56.6% | Draw
27.2% | Al Mosul
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Al Mosul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Al-Karma - Al Mosul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.65) |
3.32 ↓
(3.4) |
5.55 ↑
(5.2) |
10.8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 14).
- Al-Karma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al Mosul is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Karma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Karma is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Karma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Karma won against Al Mosul?
Al-Karma has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Mosul won against Al-Karma?
Al Mosul has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Karma - Al Mosul were as follows:
18.01.2026
Al Mosul
-
Al-Karma
1:3
Latest results of Al-Karma
Latest results of Al Mosul
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 42:15 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Talaba | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 39:24 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 50 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 48 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Duhok | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Diyala | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 30 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30:36 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 28 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19:51 | -32 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
