Result
1:3
18/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 1', 0 - 1, Olwan A. ⚽,
- 7', 1 - 1, Al Dali A. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 2, Maknzi A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+3', 1 - 3, Fayaq H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Al Mosul 24.7% | Draw 31.9% | Al-Karma 43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Mosul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Al-Karma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karma than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Al Mosul - Al-Karma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.65 ↑ (3.12) |
2.82 ↓ (2.94) |
2.07 ↓ (2.31) |
11.1% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 4).
- Recent form of Al Mosul has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al-Karma is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Karma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Mosul won against Al-Karma?
Al Mosul has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Karma won against Al Mosul?
Al-Karma has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Mosul - Al-Karma were as follows:
Latest results of Al Mosul
Latest results of Al-Karma
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Erbil | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 35:18 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 41:19 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 31:20 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Zakho | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 31:19 | 12 | 40 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Duhok | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | Newroz | 23 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Diyala | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Gharraf | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 29 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 24:33 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 19 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 23 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7:52 | -45 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation