Al-Muharraq vs Al-Ahli Manama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 10:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • King's Cup - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bahrainBahrainBahrain Sport 1

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 🟥,
  • 58', 2 - 0, ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Al-Muharraq
72%
Draw
18.8%
Al-Ahli Manama
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 23.5% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 23% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Muharraq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Muharraq's performance.
  • Al-Ahli Manama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Muharraq than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Muharraq that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Manama than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Al-Muharraq - Al-Ahli Manama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.46)
    4.86
    (3.86)
    9.99
    (6.5)
    9.3%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Muharraq won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Al-Muharraq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Al-Muharraq is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Muharraq won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Muharraq won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Muharraq - Al-Ahli Manama were as follows:
    15.01.2026 Al-Ahli Manama - Al-Muharraq 0:1
    12.09.2025 Al-Muharraq - Al-Ahli Manama 3:0
    17.05.2025 Al-Ahli Manama - Al-Muharraq 2:1
    17.01.2025 Al-Muharraq - Al-Ahli Manama 3:2
    08.04.2024 Al-Ahli Manama - Al-Muharraq 2:2
    Latest results of Al-Muharraq
    03.04.2026 Al-Muharraq - Sitra 3:0
    18.03.2026 Al-Muharraq - Al Khalidiah 0:3
    12.03.2026 Al-Riffa - Al-Muharraq 1:0
    20.02.2026 Al-Muharraq - Bahrain SC 7:0
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Manama
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1Al-MuharraqBye
    2Isa TownAl Reef3 : 2
    3Al-ShabbabBye
    4ByeMalkia
    5Al-BudaiyaBye
    6ByeAl-Ahli Manama
    7Al-IttihadAl-Ittifaq1 : 5
    8ByeSitra
    9Al KhalidiyahBye
    10Umm Al HassamAl-Hala0 : 2
    11Aali ClubBye
    12ByeAl-Najma
    13Bahrain SCBye
    14ByeAl-Hidd
    15East RiffaManama Club1 : 2
    16ByeAl Riffa

    1/8-finals
    1Al-MuharraqIsa Town6 : 0
    2Al-ShabbabMalkia2 : 1
    3Al-BudaiyaAl-Ahli Manama0 : 1
    4Al-IttifaqSitra2 : 0
    5Al KhalidiyahAl-Hala7 : 0
    6Aali ClubAl-Najma2 : 0
    7Bahrain SCAl-Hidd1 : 0
    8Manama ClubAl Riffa2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Al-MuharraqAl-Shabbab3 : 0
    2Al-Ahli ManamaAl-Ittifaq3 : 2
    3Al KhalidiyahAali Club2 : 0
    4Bahrain SCAl Riffa1 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Al-MuharraqAl-Ahli Manama2 : 1
    2Al KhalidiyahAl Riffa3 : 4

    Final
    1Al-MuharraqAl Riffa