Result
1:1
21/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', 0 - 1, Al Mawas M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 69', 1 - 1, Lawend H. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Al-Naft
18.7% | Draw
26.8% | Al-Shorta Baghdad
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Naft's form might have worsened.Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shorta Baghdad's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Naft, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Shorta Baghdad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.76 ↑
(3.53) |
3.32 ↓
(3.35) |
1.64 ↓
(1.96) |
12.1%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 1.
- In recent matches, Al-Naft has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Al-Shorta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Shorta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Al-Shorta could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Naft won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Al-Naft has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Al-Naft?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Naft - Al-Shorta Baghdad were as follows:
15.06.2025
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Al-Naft
4:0
31.10.2024
Al-Naft
-
Al-Shorta Baghdad
0:2
25.04.2024
Al-Naft
-
Al-Shorta Baghdad
1:1
02.12.2023
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Al-Naft
0:1
07.04.2023
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Al-Naft
1:0
Latest results of Al-Naft
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 42:15 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 59 |
| 3 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 34:22 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38:20 | 18 | 47 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 33:32 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Duhok | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Diyala | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Al Kahraba | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30:36 | -6 | 27 |
| 16 | Baghdad | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 32:47 | -15 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 24:32 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 27 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 19:48 | -29 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
