Result
0:4
26/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League 2 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Ukraine | Sport 2, Sport 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (215/295) | 86% (527/616) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (215/295) | 86% (527/616) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 50% (23/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (43/70) | 74% (164/221) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.37 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Joao Felix (Pen),
- 18', Okoro J. 🟨,
- 40', 0 - 2, Simakan M. ⚽, Al Hassan A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Chobanov M. ↓, Dehghani R. ↑,
- 46', Haghnazari S. ↓, Komolafe P. ↑,
- 67', Maran M. ↓, Mane S. ↑,
- 67', Al Hassan A. ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
- 67', Simakan M. ↓, Martinez I. ↑,
- 80', Brozovic M. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
- 80', Al Najdi S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
- 82', Soirov R. ↓, Gafurov M. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 3, Mane S. ⚽, Joao Felix (A),
- 90', Al Ghannam S. 🟨,
- 90+2', 0 - 4, Yahya A. ⚽, Angelo (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ysv3vt5p
Chances of winning
Istiklol Dushanbe
10.6% | Draw
17.8% | Al-Nassr Riyadh
71.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istiklol Dushanbe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Nassr Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.72 ↓
(13.55) |
5.2 ↓
(5.99) |
1.29 ↑
(1.2) |
8.1%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.75 - Istiklol (1.63) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Istiklol (votes: 4 - 80%). Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Istiklol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al-Nassr is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Istiklol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).
- Including home match between the teams, Istiklol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Istiklol Dushanbe won against Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Istiklol Dushanbe has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nassr Riyadh won against Istiklol Dushanbe?
Al-Nassr Riyadh has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
17.09.2025
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Istiklol Dushanbe
5:0
05.12.2023
Istiklol Dushanbe
-
Al-Nassr Riyadh
1:1
02.10.2023
Al-Nassr Riyadh
-
Istiklol Dushanbe
3:1
Latest results of Istiklol Dushanbe
Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Zawraa | Al Wasl | 2 : 4, 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Arkadag | Al Nassr | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Sepahan | Al Ahli Doha | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Esteghlal F.C. | Al Hussein | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Pohang | Gamba Osaka | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Ratchaburi | Persib Bandung | 0 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Bangkok Utd | Macarthur FC | 2 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Cong An Ha Noi | Tampines | 1 : 3, 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Wasl | Al Nassr | |
| 2 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Hussein | |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | Ratchaburi | |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | Tampines | |
Semi-finalsFinal
