Istiklol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
26/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League 2 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelSport 4
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaTV Start
ukraineUkraineSport 2, Sport 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 2 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.342.39
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
73% (215/295)86% (527/616)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.342.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.042.63
Total shots
916
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
210
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
826
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
152
Free Kicks
510
Passes
73% (215/295)86% (527/616)
Long passes
43% (23/53)50% (23/46)
Passes in final third
61% (43/70)74% (164/221)
Crosses
20% (1/5)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.60
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
105
Tackles
31% (5/16)59% (10/17)
Duels won
2939
Clearances
2623
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.630.04
Goals prevented
-1.370.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Joao Felix (Pen),
  • 18', Okoro J. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 2, Simakan M. , Al Hassan A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Chobanov M. , Dehghani R. ,
  • 46', Haghnazari S. , Komolafe P. ,
  • 67', Maran M. , Mane S. ,
  • 67', Al Hassan A. , Al Khaibari A. ,
  • 67', Simakan M. , Martinez I. ,
  • 80', Brozovic M. , Yahya A. ,
  • 80', Al Najdi S. , Boushal N. ,
  • 82', Soirov R. , Gafurov M. ,
  • 84', 0 - 3, Mane S. , Joao Felix (A),
  • 90', Al Ghannam S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 0 - 4, Yahya A. , Angelo (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ysv3vt5p

Chances of winning


Istiklol Dushanbe
10.6%
Draw
17.8%
Al-Nassr Riyadh
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
6.9% 15.5% 77.6%

Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
8.72
(13.55)
5.2
(5.99)
1.29
(1.2)
8.1%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.75 - Istiklol (1.63) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Istiklol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Al-Nassr is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Istiklol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Istiklol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
    17.09.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe 5:0
    05.12.2023 Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:1
    02.10.2023 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe 3:1
    Latest results of Istiklol Dushanbe
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    AFC Champions League 2 Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Wasl ✔ 532013:5811
    2Al-Muharraq52128:537
    3Esteghlal F.C51225:10-55
    4Al Wehdat51134:10-64


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ahli Doha51405:417
    2Al Khalidiyah51313:216
    3Andijan50501:105
    4Arkadag50414:6-24


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sepahan ✔ 42115:327
    2Al Hussein ✔ 32015:326
    3Ahal41124:7-34
    4Mohun Bagan10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr ✔ 550017:11615
    2Al Zawraa53027:619
    3Istiqlol Dushanbe52035:12-76
    4Goa50052:12-100


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Macarthur FC ✔ 53119:5410
    2Cong An Ha Noi ✔ 52219:638
    3Beijing Guoan51229:10-15
    4Tai Po51136:12-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gamba Osaka ✔ 550014:21215
    2Ratchaburi530215:699
    3Nam Dinh52035:7-26
    4Eastern AA50052:21-190


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Persib Bandung531110:6410
    2Bangkok Utd ✔ 53118:6210
    3Lion City52129:817
    4Selangor50147:14-71


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampines ✔ 541012:5713
    2Pohang ✔ 53116:2410
    3Pathum United52035:6-16
    4Kaya50054:14-100

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    Al Nassr is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs )
    Macarthur FC is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs )
    Cong An Ha Noi is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs )
    Gamba Osaka is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs )
    Bangkok Utd is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs )
    Tampines is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs )
    Pohang is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs )