Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Istiklol Dushanbe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League 2 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe
Result
5:0
17/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League 2 - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play, K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.960.21
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
163
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (602/682)62% (128/207)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.960.21
xG on target (xGOT)
4.020.01
Total shots
163
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
101
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
335
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
66
Passes
88% (602/682)62% (128/207)
Long passes
65% (26/40)26% (14/54)
Passes in final third
79% (184/232)29% (14/49)
Crosses
10% (1/10)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.05
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
66
Tackles
89% (8/9)58% (14/24)
Duels won
4037
Clearances
620
Interceptions
820
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.014.02
Goals prevented
0.01-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', Al Amri A. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Ghareeb A. ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Angelo , Ghareeb A. (A),
  • 26', Al Nasser S. , Boushal N. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', Okoro J. 🟨,
  • 51', Nasrullozoda R. 🟨,
  • 56', Nasrullozoda R. , Safarov M. ,
  • 56', Dzhalilov M. , Juraboev A. ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Wesley , Al Ghannam S. (A),
  • 66', Angelo , Coman K. ,
  • 66', Camara H. , Mane S. ,
  • 66', Joao Felix , Brozovic M. ,
  • 68', Komolafe P. , Soirov R. ,
  • 78', Al Ghannam S. , Al Najdi S. ,
  • 81', Wesley 🟨,
  • 89', 4 - 0, Coman K. ,
  • 90+3', 5 - 0, Mane S. , Ghareeb A. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yet8kvah

Chances of winning


Al-Nassr Riyadh
88.4%
Draw
8.1%
Istiklol Dushanbe
3.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.8% 11% 6.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nassr Riyadh's performance.
  • Istiklol Dushanbe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.04
    (1.13)
    11.27
    (8.5)
    26.5
    (15)
    9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Al-Nassr have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Istiklol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Al-Nassr is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe were as follows:
    05.12.2023 Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:1
    02.10.2023 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe 3:1
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Latest results of Istiklol Dushanbe
    AFC Champions League 2 Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Wasl330010:289
    2Al-Muharraq32015:146
    3Esteghlal F.C31023:8-53
    4Al Wehdat30031:8-70


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Khalidiyah31202:025
    2Al Ahli Doha30302:203
    3Andijan30300:003
    4Arkadag30212:4-22


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hussein22005:146
    2Sepahan21011:103
    3Ahal31022:5-33
    4Mohun Bagan10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr33009:189
    2Istiqlol Dushanbe32014:6-26
    3Al Zawraa31023:4-13
    4Goa30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cong An Ha Noi31206:335
    2Tai Po31115:7-24
    3Macarthur FC31115:324
    4Beijing Guoan30215:8-32


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gamba Osaka33008:269
    2Nam Dinh32015:416
    3Ratchaburi31026:603
    4Eastern AA30032:9-70


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Persib Bandung32105:147
    2Bangkok Utd32015:416
    3Lion City31115:414
    4Selangor30034:10-60


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampines33006:159
    2Pohang32013:126
    3Pathum United31023:303
    4Kaya30030:7-70

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