Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Istiklol Dushanbe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football AFC Champions League 2
Football AFC Champions League 2 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe
Result
5:0
17/09/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League 2 - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, Paramount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6
ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play, K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
worldWorldSport 1 Baltic

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.960.21
Ball Possession
76%24%
Total shots
163
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (602/682)62% (128/207)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.960.21
xG on target (xGOT)
4.020.01
Total shots
163
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
101
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
335
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
66
Passes
88% (602/682)62% (128/207)
Long passes
65% (26/40)26% (14/54)
Passes in final third
79% (184/232)29% (14/49)
Crosses
10% (1/10)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.05
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
66
Tackles
89% (8/9)58% (14/24)
Duels won
4037
Clearances
620
Interceptions
820
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.014.02
Goals prevented
0.01-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', Al Amri A. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Ghareeb A. ⚽,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Angelo ⚽, Ghareeb A. (A),
  • 26', Al Nasser S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 49', Okoro J. 🟨,
  • 51', Nasrullozoda R. 🟨,
  • 56', Nasrullozoda R. ↓, Safarov M. ↑,
  • 56', Dzhalilov M. ↓, Juraboev A. ↑,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Wesley ⚽, Al Ghannam S. (A),
  • 66', Angelo ↓, Coman K. ↑,
  • 66', Camara H. ↓, Mane S. ↑,
  • 66', Joao Felix ↓, Brozovic M. ↑,
  • 68', Komolafe P. ↓, Soirov R. ↑,
  • 78', Al Ghannam S. ↓, Al Najdi S. ↑,
  • 81', Wesley 🟨,
  • 89', 4 - 0, Coman K. ⚽,
  • 90+3', 5 - 0, Mane S. ⚽, Ghareeb A. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yet8kvah

Chances of winning


Al-Nassr Riyadh
88.4%		Draw
8.1%		Istiklol Dushanbe
3.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.8% 11% 6.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nassr Riyadh's performance.
  • Istiklol Dushanbe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
    •

    Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.04 ↓
    (1.13)    		 11.27 ↑
    (8.5)    		 26.5 ↑
    (15)    		 9%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Al-Nassr have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Istiklol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Al-Nassr is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Al-Nassr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe were as follows:
    05.12.2023 Istiklol Dushanbe - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:1
    02.10.2023 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Istiklol Dushanbe 3:1
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    14.09.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Kholood 2:0 ✺
    29.08.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:5 ✺
    23.08.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:3 ✺
    19.08.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah 2:1 ✺
    10.08.2025 Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Istiklol Dushanbe
    11.09.2025 CSKA-Pomir - Istiklol Dushanbe 3:3 ✺
    19.08.2025 Istiklol Dushanbe - Panjshir 1:0
    14.08.2025 Istiklol Dushanbe - Istaravshan 6:0
    09.08.2025 Khosilot Farkhor - Istiklol Dushanbe Postponed
    22.06.2025 Regar-TadAZ - Istiklol Dushanbe 1:2
    AFC Champions League 2 Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Wasl22009:276
    2Al-Muharraq22005:056
    3Al Wehdat20021:6-50
    4Esteghlal F.C20021:8-70


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Khalidiyah21102:024
    2Andijan20200:002
    3Al Ahli Doha20200:002
    4Arkadag20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Hussein22005:146
    2Ahal21012:4-23
    3Sepahan10010:1-10
    4Mohun Bagan10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr22007:076
    2Al Zawraa21012:203
    3Istiqlol Dushanbe21012:5-33
    4Goa20020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cong An Ha Noi21105:234
    2Tai Po21012:4-23
    3Macarthur FC21014:223
    4Beijing Guoan20112:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gamba Osaka22005:146
    2Nam Dinh22004:136
    3Eastern AA20021:4-30
    4Ratchaburi20021:5-40


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lion City21105:324
    2Persib Bandung21103:124
    3Bangkok Utd21014:403
    4Selangor20024:8-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampines22005:146
    2Pohang22003:036
    3Pathum United20021:3-20
    4Kaya20020:5-50

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