Result
2:3
28/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iraq | Iraqia Syriac |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 1 - 0, Sou E. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Al Dali A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Ghazi I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 3, Al Dali A. ⚽, Mohsen S. (A),
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Sou E. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Al-Qasim
12.9% | Draw
24.7% | Al Mosul
62.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Qasim's form might have worsened.Al Mosul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Mosul's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (-14.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Mosul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Qasim - Al Mosul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7 ↑
(4.74) |
3.64 ↑
(3.45) |
1.45 ↓
(1.69) |
11%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- Al-Qasim has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al Mosul is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Al Mosul is considered a favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qasim won against Al Mosul?
Al-Qasim has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Mosul won against Al-Qasim?
Al Mosul has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Qasim - Al Mosul were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Qasim
Latest results of Al Mosul
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 40:18 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Erbil | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 33:18 | 15 | 47 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Zakho | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 40 |
| 7 | Al Zawraa | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 28:18 | 10 | 39 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Duhok | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | Newroz | 23 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Diyala | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 29 |
| 12 | Al Gharraf | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:25 | -2 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 25 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 24:33 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 21:38 | -17 | 19 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 23 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7:52 | -45 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
