Result
2:3
28/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Iraq | Iraqia Syriac |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 1 - 0, Sou E. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Al Dali A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Ghazi I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 3, Al Dali A. ⚽, Mohsen S. (A),
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Sou E. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Al-Qasim
12.9% | Draw
24.7% | Al Mosul
62.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Qasim's form might have worsened.Al Mosul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Mosul's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Qasim than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Qasim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Mosul than the current prediction. (-14.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Mosul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Qasim - Al Mosul Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7 ↑
(4.74) |
3.64 ↑
(3.45) |
1.45 ↓
(1.69) |
11%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).
- Al-Qasim has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Al Mosul is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Al Mosul is considered a favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Qasim won against Al Mosul?
Al-Qasim has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Mosul won against Al-Qasim?
Al Mosul has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Qasim - Al Mosul were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Qasim
Latest results of Al Mosul
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 51:20 | 31 | 74 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 61:30 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | Erbil | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 44:24 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Zakho | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Newroz | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 42:38 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Diyala | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | Duhok | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Al Mosul | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 31 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22:54 | -32 | 15 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 32 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13:80 | -67 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
