Result
2:1
03/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Stars League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Iraq | Al Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Abdulnabi A. ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 0, Tahseen Z. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 89', 2 - 1, Ouro-Agoro I. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya 61.4% | Draw 25.9% | Naft Al-Basra 12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya's performance.Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naft Al-Basra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naft Al-Basra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↓ (1.69) |
3.52 ↑ (3.35) |
7.14 ↑ (4.78) |
9.9% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra?
Users Predictions:
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 17).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 3.
- Recent matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Naft Al-Basra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recently Naft Al-Basra have a series of home games.
- In this match Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is a favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.8:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won against Naft Al-Basra?
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naft Al-Basra won against Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya?
Naft Al-Basra has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra were as follows:
06.10.2024
Naft Al-Basra
-
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
1:2
19.06.2024
Naft Al-Basra
-
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
2:3
01.03.2024
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
-
Naft Al-Basra
0:0
06.02.2023
Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
-
Naft Al-Basra
0:1
Latest results of Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Latest results of Naft Al-Basra
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 51:20 | 31 | 74 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 61:30 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | Erbil | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 44:24 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Zakho | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Newroz | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 42:38 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Diyala | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | Duhok | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Al Mosul | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 31 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22:54 | -32 | 15 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 32 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13:80 | -67 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation