Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya vs Naft Al-Basra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Stars League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
iraqIraqAl Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Abdulnabi A. ,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Tahseen Z. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 89', 2 - 1, Ouro-Agoro I. (Pen),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
61.4%
Draw
25.9%
Naft Al-Basra
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 27.1% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 26.6% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya's performance.
  • Naft Al-Basra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naft Al-Basra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naft Al-Basra than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naft Al-Basra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.69)
    3.52
    (3.35)
    7.14
    (4.78)
    9.9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra?
  • Users Predictions: Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 3.
    • Recent matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Naft Al-Basra is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recently Naft Al-Basra have a series of home games.
    • In this match Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 1.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Naft Al-Basra - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya 1:2
    19.06.2024 Naft Al-Basra - Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya 2:3
    01.03.2024 Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra 0:0
    06.02.2023 Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Naft Al-Basra 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
    Latest results of Naft Al-Basra
    14.03.2025 Al-Karma - Naft Al-Basra 0:0
    09.03.2025 Naft Al-Basra - Al-Talaba 0:2
    02.03.2025 Naft Al-Basra - Karbala 0:0
    18.02.2025 Naft Al-Basra - Al-Naft 0:0
    Iraqi Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Quwa Al Jawiya32228251:203174
    2Al Shorta32207561:303167
    3Erbil32199446:262066
    4Al Talaba32187747:301761
    5Al Zawraa321514345:271859
    6Al-Karma321411744:242053
    7Zakho31149840:301051
    8Al Karkh321310938:32649
    9Newroz321451342:38447
    10Diyala321191236:34242
    11Duhok321191235:36-142
    12Al Mosul3210111136:40-441
    13Al Naft329121128:28039
    14Al Gharraf321081433:35-238
    15Baghdad32961739:57-1833
    16Al Minaa31881530:38-832
    17Naft Missan31791534:49-1530
    18Al Kahraba31832035:47-1227
    19Al Najaf30432322:54-3215
    20Al-Qassim32042813:80-674

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