Result
3:2
07/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (309/389) | 79% (300/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (309/389) | 79% (300/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (74/117) | 59% (50/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.08 | 2.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Traore A. 🟨,
- 24', Abdulrazaq F. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Al Khulaif A. ⚽, Koulouris E. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', Al Shamrani H. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 2, Traore A. ⚽, Al Khulaif A. (A),
- 64', Al Owais M. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 2, Bouzok Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 67', Abdulrazaq F. ↓, Al Shuqayran T. ↑,
- 75', Tweh S. 🟨,
- 79', Al Khulaif A. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
- 79', Traore A. ↓, Al Zain A. ↑,
- 89', Al Shaikh M. ↓, Al Zahrani A. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 2, Al Shanqiti W. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
- 90+2', Nastasic M. 🟨,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Gonzalez O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+8', Al Shamrani H. ↓, Al Shamrani K. ↑,
- 90+10', Whaeshi B. 🟨,
- 90+20', Al Zubaidi A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Raed
30.7% | Draw
26% | Al-Ula
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Al-Ula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Al Raed - Al-Ula Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↑
(2.92) |
3.48 ↑
(3.4) |
2.09 ↓
(2.19) |
10.5%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al Raed - Al-Ula?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ula (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Al-Ula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Al-Ula could have a small edge in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Raed won against Al-Ula?
Al Raed has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ula won against Al Raed?
Al-Ula has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Raed - Al-Ula were as follows:
Latest results of Al Raed
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 53:20 | 33 | 62 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 56:24 | 32 | 52 |
| 3 | Al-Ula | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 51:25 | 26 | 49 |
| 4 | Al Jabalain | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 48:27 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Al-Faisaly | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 51:30 | 21 | 45 |
| 6 | Al Orubah | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | 11 | 38 |
| 8 | Al Bukiryah | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 34 |
| 9 | Al Zulfi | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Al Wehda | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:43 | -4 | 32 |
| 11 | Al Taee | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Jeddah | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 31 |
| 13 | Al Anwar | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 20:44 | -24 | 23 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 32:57 | -25 | 17 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 12:43 | -31 | 16 |
| 17 | Al Batin | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 25:47 | -22 | 14 |
| 18 | Al Jubail | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
